NJ: Monmouth University: Obama +13 RV +8 LV

[mondale84]

RV:

Obama: 51
Romney: 38

LV:

Obama: 50
Romney: 42

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/27a6eea9-1cb0-43eb-a935-36577460bde9.pdf

[krazen1211]

Good poll.

[timothyinMD]

Good poll.

I think an Obama by 8 will is a likely outcome.  53-45

[krazen1211]

Good poll.

I think an Obama by 8 will is a likely outcome.  53-45

I suspect you are correct. Romney is well suited to perform well in North Jersey suburbs full of many Wall Streeters, but of course he won't advertise there.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I figure this will turn out to be Obama +10 on election day, very similar to the senate race. A very generic D vs. R result for New Jersey.

[pepper11]

This is proably very accurate, and does nicely show the difference between RV and LV polls. Soon many other pollsters will switch to LV which should be a nice bump for Mr Romney.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Poll entered:
https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3420120722102

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

If I remember from 2008 polls, NJ always looks like a low-hanging fruit which quickly becomes solidly Democratic; a similar thing occurs with Michigan and Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Democrats always think this year is the year they can take Texas.

[memphis]

If I remember from 2008 polls, NJ always looks like a low-hanging fruit which quickly becomes solidly Democratic; a similar thing occurs with Michigan and Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Democrats always think this year is the year they can take Texas.

Say what? When's the last time a Dem even bothered with Texas? When Dukakis picked Bentsen?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Clinton tried to take it twice, and I believe it was briefly an option for Obama.

[Napoleon]

Clinton tried to take it twice, and I believe it was briefly an option for Obama.

No. No, it certainly wasn't.