WI: Rasmussen: Baldwin leads entire GOP field

[MilesC56]

Wisconsin voters seem to be warming up to Bay Area politics.

This is even better coming from Rasmussen.

Baldwin- 48%
Thompson- 41%

Baldwin- 48%
Neumann- 42%

Baldwin- 47%
Fitzgerald- 37%

Baldwin- 45%
Hovde- 42%

[Gravis Marketing]

Heating up primary battle = Republican voters holding back their support for now?

[MilesC56]

Heating up primary battle = Republican voters holding back their support for now?

Baldwin was polling at 36% in Rasmussen's June poll.

There has to be more than Republican uncertainty here to account for this big of a shift.

[Vasall des Midas]

Are Thompson and Hovde going all-out negative on each other atm? That could explain it.

[Jayhawker]

This is confusing.

[Governor Scott]

This is confusing.

Indeed.

Hovde is now more electable than Thompson...?

[Invisible Obama]

Looks like Baldwin isn't going to be the push over candidate some thought she would be after all.

[Keystone Phil]

This is the second poll showing Hovde doing better than Thompson in the General. Give me a break.

[Rowan]

23 point swing in a month? Riiiight....

[Supersonic]

An obvious outlier.

Even more amusing is the fact the "GOP hack firm" Rasmussen has Baldwin leading.

[Keystone Phil]

An obvious outlier.

Even more amusing is the fact the "GOP hack firm" Rasmussen has Baldwin leading.

OMG DON'T YOU GET IT? They're showing her ahead by only half of her actual lead because they're hacks! Baldwin is obviously up by fourteen against Thompson!

[RogueBeaver]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

[Lief]

Republicans didn't seem to have a problem with the last Rasmussen poll of this race that was also obviously an outlier. Wonder why...

[ajc0918]

Well I'm sure the primary is damaging the republican candidates, especially with the outside spending. I'm sure Baldwin will be attacked after the primary, but these numbers aren't that unbelievable.

[Invisible Obama]

Baldwin is at 50% favorable in this poll, while the other Republicans are underwater to some degree, Thompson is 50% unfavorable. Seems like Baldwin has done a good job raising her profile positively, while the Republicans are going negative.

[Gass3268]

This poll is amazing. Go Tammy!

[JulioMadrid]

Don't think it's an outlier. Republicans are in a dirty battle against each other. Baldwin is up with some positive ads about herself. After the primaries, the race will be a tossup again.

[hawkeye59]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

So, when Rasmussen has a Democrat leading, it's an outlier?

[RogueBeaver]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

So, when Rasmussen has a Democrat leading, it's an outlier?

When it varies from better WI pollsters like MLS and PPP, both of which have quite different numbers, yes. Have any game-changing events occurred in 3 weeks? None that I've heard of, though resident Badgers could correct me if I'm wrong.

[MilesC56]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

So, when Rasmussen has a Democrat leading, it's an outlier?

When it varies from better WI pollsters like MLS and PPP, both of which have quite different numbers, yes. Have any game-changing events occurred in 3 weeks? None that I've heard of, though resident Badgers could correct me if I'm wrong.

In RogueBeaver's defense, when Rasmussen had Baldwin down 16, he agreed with me that it was a junk poll.

[RogueBeaver]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

So, when Rasmussen has a Democrat leading, it's an outlier?

When it varies from better WI pollsters like MLS and PPP, both of which have quite different numbers, yes. Have any game-changing events occurred in 3 weeks? None that I've heard of, though resident Badgers could correct me if I'm wrong.

In RogueBeaver's defense, when Rasmussen had Baldwin down 16, he agreed with me that it was a junk poll.

I always think Ras is junk.

[Senator Ben]

This poll makes absolutely no sense.

[Nhoj]

Are Thompson and Hovde going all-out negative on each other atm? That could explain it.

Not that ive heard, Neumann has however been running attack ads against both. I believe some dem groups may have aswell.


Of course Rassy is junk.

[True Federalist]

This poll makes absolutely no sense.

Yes it does make sense.  It reflects the GOP primary infighting dragging all the Republican candidates down, plus the energy from the gubernatorial recall is spent by now.  Once the scars from the primary heal, I expect the Republican will have a slight edge.

[Badger]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

So, when Rasmussen has a Democrat leading, it's an outlier?

When it varies from better WI pollsters like MLS and PPP, both of which have quite different numbers, yes. Have any game-changing events occurred in 3 weeks? None that I've heard of, though resident Badgers could correct me if I'm wrong.

You're wrong.

Seriously though, although it wouldn't surprise me if the tough primary is hurting Republicans across the board, this poll needs confirmation before too much stock is placed in it.