Romney Landslide

[Lincoln Republican]

(The other side of Obama Landslide)

Between now and November, what could cause a Romney landslide and what would it look like in maps?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

That was a slick move copying my post. But here:
We begin losing jobs and fall back into recession.

Romney-350
Obama-188

[Lincoln Republican]

Hey, you had an interesting topic which deserves the other viewpoint as well.

I myself have been copied, quoted, on numerous occasions.

[Joe Biden 2020]

That was a slick move copying my post. But here:
We begin losing jobs and fall back into recession.

Romney-350
Obama-188

Wow, not only are you turning every swing state blue "red", but you're also flipping OREGON???  What the...?  I know we're talking about landslide territory here, but I never thought, in a hundred years, I would see a modern day map with a Republican Oregon.  What is your reasoning behind flipping one of the least likely states to flip?

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Recent polls out of Oregon showed Romney doing surprisingly better than one would think.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Recent polls out of Oregon showed Romney doing surprisingly better than one would think.

I just looked at several different polls and it does show Romney performing rather well there.

With that in mind, is there any possibility it could flip without a landslide?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Recent polls out of Oregon showed Romney doing surprisingly better than one would think.

I just looked at several different polls and it does show Romney performing rather well there.

With that in mind, is there any possibility it could flip without a landslide?

Highly doubt it

[Joe Biden 2020]

Recent polls out of Oregon showed Romney doing surprisingly better than one would think.

I just looked at several different polls and it does show Romney performing rather well there.

With that in mind, is there any possibility it could flip without a landslide?

Highly doubt it

Didn't think so, but it is interesting that the polls are relatively close.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Recent polls out of Oregon showed Romney doing surprisingly better than one would think.

I just looked at several different polls and it does show Romney performing rather well there.

With that in mind, is there any possibility it could flip without a landslide?

Highly doubt it

Didn't think so, but it is interesting that the polls are relatively close.

Well Oregon was also close in 2000 and 2004. 2008 was an outlier. It is one of those swing states that will only go R if there is a major landslide, which hasn't happened sice '88. And even then it went Dukakis by 4 points.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Obama admits to being a Muslim working with Al Qaeda to destroy America and ban Jesus and enforce Neo-Nazi Fascocommusocialmarxism:

yes, the Vermont thing was intentional and it was a joke

PS If Romney wins Oregon, I will eat a sock.

[stegosaurus]

Romney 54% - 317
Obama 45% - 221
Other 1%

Should there be a catalyst for major economic decline, this is the best possible map for Romney...not exactly a landslide, but decisive. It would certainly make a small wave out of the down ballot races.

[Dumbo]

Why do you all use the colors red and blue in the opposite way
than usual (red = Republican, blue = Democratic)?

 

[zorkpolitics]

With the economic slow down accelerating, rising unemployment, rising food prices, rising gas prices, and Iran detonating a nuclear device, Romney could pull out a 10 pt win:
Romney 54.5%
Obama  44.5%
Others   1%
Obama is currently ahead nationally by 1.5% (RealClear Average), to lose by 10 that would be a shift towards Romney by 11.5%.  Applying a 11.5% shift to the current state poll averages at RealClear:
Romney 386 EV
Obama  152 EV

[stegosaurus]

With the economic slow down accelerating, rising unemployment, rising food prices, rising gas prices, and Iran detonating a nuclear device, Romney could pull out a 10 pt win:
Romney 54.5%
Obama  44.5%
Others   1%
Obama is currently ahead nationally by 1.5% (RealClear Average), to lose by 10 that would be a shift towards Romney by 11.5%.  Applying a 11.5% shift to the current state poll averages at RealClear:
Romney 386 EV
Obama  152 EV

If Iran were to detonate a nuclear device, national security would instantly become a top issue and Obama's edge on the defense issue is substantial. National security crises historically benefit incumbent Presidents, especially when their opponents lack foreign policy credentials.

Long story short: If the primary issue of this election is foreign policy, then Romney loses big.

[krazen1211]

Romney 54% - 317
Obama 45% - 221
Other 1%

Should there be a catalyst for major economic decline, this is the best possible map for Romney...not exactly a landslide, but decisive. It would certainly make a small wave out of the down ballot races.

This, but with Pennsylvania and Oregon going red.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I'm shocked at what some people are labeling as a Romney "landslide".  I consider a landslide whenever a losing presidential candidate gets less than 100 electoral votes.  I have seen no signs that this election will be a landslide for either side, but under that definition, the following are possible Romney landslides:
1.

Romney 448
Obama 90

2.

Romney 474
Obama 64

3.

Romney 447
Obama 91
4. This one isn't necessarily a landslide, but it's the widest EC margin that Romney can realistically win by (though it's still unlikely):

Romney 374
Obama 164

Note that I left Hawaii and the District for Columbia for Obama on all these maps.  That's because DC has always voted for the Democratic candidate for president, and Hawaii has always done hee same whenever the Dems get more than one state (and Obama probably will, even in a Romney landslide).