Republicans and the Senate

[GPORTER]

Is there any realistic chance in the future that republicans will control all senate seats in the south and rocky mountain west, their election bases? Just open to discussions. Is it another hit to democrats and an argument again that republicans are stronger because the GOP could control all senate seats in the regions of their electoral base before the democrats do in theirs? Just open for discussion.

[Mr.Phips]

Is there any realistic chance in the future that republicans will control all senate seats in the south and rocky mountain west, their election bases? Just open to discussions. Is it another hit to democrats and an argument again that republicans are stronger because the GOP could control all senate seats in the regions of their electoral base before the democrats do in theirs? Just open for discussion.

The Rocky Mountain West is almost impossible if you include Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico.  The South is possible. 

[GPORTER]

Is there any realistic chance in the future that republicans will control all senate seats in the south and rocky mountain west, their election bases? Just open to discussions. Is it another hit to democrats and an argument again that republicans are stronger because the GOP could control all senate seats in the regions of their electoral base before the democrats do in theirs? Just open for discussion.

The Rocky Mountain West is almost impossible if you include Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico.  The South is possible. 

I don't think the west is impossible. The west coast is tougher than Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico.

[MD]

The south yes.  The west probably not.  They have a better shot at the rust belt in the future but as of now they definitely don't have a monopoly on that either.

[GPORTER]

Another question. Out of six or seven vulnerable democratic incumbents in 2010, two were turned out of office. Will the tea party perform better in the senate races this year? Will more than two democratic incumbents be defeated this year?

[Senator Napoleon]

Both Udalls are winners. CO and NM will have at least one Democratic Senator until these guys retire.

[RogueBeaver]

TP:

Indiana: Teeper Richard Mourdock wipes the floor with Mr. Establishment, Dick Lugar.

Nebraska: Teeper Deb Fischer comes out of nowhere to defeat establishmentarian Jon Bruning in the final weeks.

Utah: Orrin Hatch demolishes Teeper Dan Liljenquist because of a) organization b) being establishment but also conservative.

Texas: Teeper Ted Cruz trounces establishmentarian David Dewhurst.

Wisconsin: TBD, but Tommy Thompson, Republican icon, goes from heavy favorite to slight underdog.

Arizona: Teeper Jeff Flake set to defeat Teeper Wil Cardon.



Dem incumbents: McCaskill's a goner, Tester's a slight underdog, Nelson's in a fight and Sherrod Brown could be in a fight.

[Mr.Phips]

Both Udalls are winners. CO and NM will have at least one Democratic Senator until these guys retire.

If Republicans couldnt beat Bennett or Reid in a year like 2010, they arent taking those seats any time soon.  Colorado and New Mexico will likely each have two Democratic Senators for quite a while and Nevada will have at least one. 

[JoeBlow]

That is highly unlikely. The closest we got was when Clinton was in, then he used the veto more than any other President before, so the House could have done a lot more ... nevertheless he took Credit for it all the same.


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[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

TP:

Indiana: Teeper Richard Mourdock wipes the floor with Mr. Establishment, Dick Lugar.

Nebraska: Teeper Deb Fischer comes out of nowhere to defeat establishmentarian Jon Bruning in the final weeks.

Utah: Orrin Hatch demolishes Teeper Dan Liljenquist because of a) organization b) being establishment but also conservative.

Texas: Teeper Ted Cruz trounces establishmentarian David Dewhurst.

Wisconsin: TBD, but Tommy Thompson, Republican icon, goes from heavy favorite to slight underdog.

Arizona: Teeper Jeff Flake set to defeat Teeper Wil Cardon.



Dem incumbents: McCaskill's a goner, Tester's a slight underdog, Nelson's in a fight and Sherrod Brown could be in a fight.

Other than getting endorsed by Palin and being an outsider candidate, what about Fischer denotes her as "the" tea party candidate, rather than "a" tea party candidate in that state? Especially when Stenberg got most of the backing from Tea Party leaders and groups.

[timothyinMD]

Deb Fischer is not at all a "tea party" candidate

[shua]

Is there any realistic chance in the future that republicans will control all senate seats in the south and rocky mountain west, their election bases? Just open to discussions. Is it another hit to democrats and an argument again that republicans are stronger because the GOP could control all senate seats in the regions of their electoral base before the democrats do in theirs? Just open for discussion.

The Great Plains are stronger for the GOP than either the Rocky Mts or the South.

[Kevin]

Deb Fischer is not at all a "tea party" candidate

I don't know much about her.

However, I've heard that she is just a female version of Chuck Hagel more then anything else.

[mondale84]

Deb Fischer is not at all a "tea party" candidate

LOL...and Barack Obama isn't the Democratic nominee.

[JoeyJoeJoe]

Montana is also a tough state for Republicans in Senate races.  Other than Conrad Burns, only one Republican has been elected to the Senate since the Taft administration.  Montana's populism has kept the state from moving entirely to the GOP like neighboring states or the South has, I'd say.