Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2014, 02:47:04 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  AR: Gov. Beebe not likely to run for another office after 2014
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: AR: Gov. Beebe not likely to run for another office after 2014  (Read 1924 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« on: July 30, 2012, 03:48:47 pm »
Ignore

Looks like Beebe has the door pretty closed on seeking office after his current term is up:

Quote
Beebe, 65, has said he does not intend to run for any other office. Asked what his role would be in the party’s future after he leaves office, he said, “I don’t know that I’ll have one. I’m going to go enjoy some time with (first lady) Ginger and relax a little bit.”
The governor said he might be willing to campaign for Democrats, depending on who asks and what else he is doing at the time.
“But that’s two and a half years off. We’ve got a lot of work to do,” he said.
Logged

Emperor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17253
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2012, 04:19:24 pm »
Ignore

R+1 unless Bill Halter runs, probably.
Logged



Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2012, 04:24:04 pm »
Ignore

R+1 unless Bill Halter runs, probably.

Quite the contrary, I'd say Smiley

The super-popular AG, Dustin McDaniel, should be the favorite to hold the Governorship. He's already started prepping for the 2014 campaign.
Logged

Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6853
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2012, 05:56:21 pm »
Ignore

People were expecting otherwise?
Logged

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2012, 06:04:51 pm »
Ignore

People were expecting otherwise?

Well, there was some chatter about Beebe running against Boozman in 2016.

Though, in 2010, I saw a poll with Beebe trailing Boozman by 1. But still, that was 2010...
Logged

Emperor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17253
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2012, 06:44:14 pm »
Ignore

Beebe's pretty conservative for a Democrat on every issue, isn't he?  Economic issues as well as social ones?

I can imagine he'd put Boozman's seat in play.
« Last Edit: July 30, 2012, 06:52:31 pm by Senator Scott »Logged



Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2012, 07:06:22 pm »
Ignore

Beebe's pretty conservative for a Democrat on every issue, isn't he?  Economic issues as well as social ones?

I can imagine he'd put Boozman's seat in play.

All things considered, I'd say he's more fiscally liberal than Blanche Lincoln but more conservative on social issues.

Beebe would probably have PM score very close to mine.

Well, if he was trailing by 1 in 2010, I'd imagine he'd be more competitive in a less hostile year. Boozman would now have the incumbency advantage though.
Logged

mondale84
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1324
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2012, 08:32:29 pm »
Ignore

Beebe's pretty conservative for a Democrat on every issue, isn't he?  Economic issues as well as social ones?

I can imagine he'd put Boozman's seat in play.

All things considered, I'd say he's more fiscally liberal than Blanche Lincoln but more conservative on social issues.

Beebe would probably have PM score very close to mine.

Well, if he was trailing by 1 in 2010, I'd imagine he'd be more competitive in a less hostile year. Boozman would now have the incumbency advantage though.

I still think Beebe would have the advantage because he would be a popular former governor with a good record versus a relatively low-profile incumbent without one.
Logged


"There are no men like me. There's only me."
smoltchanov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 850
Russian Federation
P
View Profile
« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2012, 01:10:39 am »
Ignore

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...
Logged

Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15516


Political Matrix
E: -8.39, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2012, 07:50:12 pm »
Ignore

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...


That was 2010; Beebe won by a bigger margin than any Democratic gubernatorial candidate. In 2008, the GOP didn't even bother putting an opponent against Pryor.
Logged

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2012, 09:38:05 pm »
Ignore

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...


That was 2010; Beebe won by a bigger margin than any Democratic gubernatorial candidate. In 2008, the GOP didn't even bother putting an opponent against Pryor.

I think smoltchanov is talking about the longer-term political trajectories of AR. I think he's right to suggest that in 15-20 years, it will look like eastern TX (with a few residual Democratic strongholds in the Delta and Pulaski counties).

I've heard that the Democrat's gerrymander of the legislative districts was actually pretty aggressive (as opposed to the Congressional plan), so that can help buy them a bit more time. But still, the trend worries me...There's a clear generational gap too; I was looking at pics of a few members of the AR legislature... generally speaking, the Democrats are older than the Republicans.
« Last Edit: July 31, 2012, 09:47:00 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

freepcrusher
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2251
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2012, 10:16:23 pm »
Ignore

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...

that's too generous. Even in Texas, the democrats have a good electoral safety net (central SA, most of Houston, South Dallas, Central Fort Worth, El Paso and all of south Texas). Democrats in Arkansas have a much lower floor.
« Last Edit: July 31, 2012, 10:18:20 pm by freepcrusher »Logged

smoltchanov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 850
Russian Federation
P
View Profile
« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2012, 10:52:02 pm »
Ignore

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...

that's too generous. Even in Texas, the democrats have a good electoral safety net (central SA, most of Houston, South Dallas, Central Fort Worth, El Paso and all of south Texas). Democrats in Arkansas have a much lower floor.

That's exactly the reason that i spoke about (rural) East Texas, not the Texas as whole in my comparison. How many Democratic state legislators are now elected from rural East Texas districts? Zero, as far as i know)))
Logged

Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2012, 04:02:10 pm »
Ignore

This article from after Tim Griffin's RNC speech suggests that he'll run statewide in 2014, more likely for Governor though.

Either way, McDaniel and Pryor would still be favored in their respective contests. Also, with Griffin taking the plunge, Halter could run for his open seat.
Logged

smoltchanov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 850
Russian Federation
P
View Profile
« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2012, 02:42:35 am »
Ignore

This article from after Tim Griffin's RNC speech suggests that he'll run statewide in 2014, more likely for Governor though.

Either way, McDaniel and Pryor would still be favored in their respective contests. Also, with Griffin taking the plunge, Halter could run for his open seat.

May be i am wrong, but it's my feeling that, aside from liberal "base", Halter is almost universaly hated in Arkansas. He couldn't even win primary over Lincoln. And when i think about chances of such liberal candidate in more and more conservative (as of late) Arkansas - i am not optimistic))) Even im more moderate 2nd district))
Logged

Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13032
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.26, S: 6.26

View Profile WWW
« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2012, 03:33:02 am »
Ignore

This article from after Tim Griffin's RNC speech suggests that he'll run statewide in 2014, more likely for Governor though.

Either way, McDaniel and Pryor would still be favored in their respective contests. Also, with Griffin taking the plunge, Halter could run for his open seat.

May be i am wrong, but it's my feeling that, aside from liberal "base", Halter is almost universaly hated in Arkansas. He couldn't even win primary over Lincoln. And when i think about chances of such liberal candidate in more and more conservative (as of late) Arkansas - i am not optimistic))) Even im more moderate 2nd district))

I think Halter's loss in 2010 had more to do with the strength of Lincoln as an incumbent rather than his own weaknesses. Lincoln did unexpectedly well with black voters, especially in Little Rock, and was of course, very entrenched in her old Delta district. I'm guessing Bill Clinton's endorsement also helped her a lot.

Apparently, Halter is also seriously considering running for Governor. Ughhh...
Logged

RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12741
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: August 30, 2012, 09:08:18 am »
Ignore

I last heard he was running against Pryor. Personally I'd prefer Cotton be the one running for guv in 2018... fully Republicanize Arkansas.
Logged

+7.35, +3.65



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines