What do you think is the end game in Syria? (user search)
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  What do you think is the end game in Syria? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What do you think is the end game in Syria?  (Read 1873 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: July 31, 2012, 10:08:09 PM »
« edited: July 31, 2012, 10:11:28 PM by SPC »

After receiving NATO assistance in toppling Assad and preventing Assad from establishing a rump state on the Syrian coast, the Sunni thugs look to guidance from the Rwandan Hutus for dealing with the Christians, Alawites, and Kurds. "Humanitarians" remain silent after being ecstatic over the removal of a dictator. Tons of refugees flow into Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey, and Iraq, bringing political instability with them.

In order words, take a summary of Libya and play Mad Libs with it.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2012, 11:27:14 PM »

Of course, since I used Libya as the basis for that prediction, that would probably constitute an "optimistic" viewpoint. The Iraq blueprint would be much the same, only using NATO groundtroops to topple Assad and fight on behalf of Sunni thugs against opposition groups on the pretense of battling "Hezbollah."
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2012, 11:55:47 PM »

An Alawite State is a remote possibility, but not an independent Syrian Kurdistan.  For obvious tho different reasons, neither Turkey nor the UN would back such a move, and any partition of Syria will require at least one of the two to defend the splinter state(s) from the Sunni majority.

Besides, Syrian Kurdistan is very lightly populated.

Will the recently autonomous Syrian Kurdistan retain de facto independence, and if not, will it be Turkey or the Sunni Arabs to crush their independence?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2012, 12:29:29 PM »

Do you guys think that the rebels will seek to drive the pro-Assad rump state into the sea, or just let it be?

They will be as merciful to Assad's rump state as the Libyan thugs were to Gaddafi's rump state, assuming they have the means to do so.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2012, 12:35:27 PM »

Do you guys think that the rebels will seek to drive the pro-Assad rump state into the sea, or just let it be?

They will be as merciful to Assad's rump state as the Libyan thugs were to Gaddafi's rump state, assuming they have the means to do so.

LOL yes, the rebels were the thugs in Libya. Not Gaddafi.

Those aren't mutually exclusive positions.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2012, 12:49:53 PM »

Considering that the rebels started out as military units that rebelled after refusing to gun down unarmed protesters...

And then all those African migrants mysteriously disappeared in areas under rebel control
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2012, 04:03:30 PM »

That's not too surprising when most of them were Gaddafi-hired mercenaries.

The entire town of Tawergha consisted of mercenaries? Roll Eyes
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2012, 04:19:52 PM »

Do you guys think that the rebels will seek to drive the pro-Assad rump state into the sea, or just let it be?

They will be as merciful to Assad's rump state as the Libyan thugs were to Gaddafi's rump state, assuming they have the means to do so.

I know the rebels weren't innocent, but you're really trying to portray them as the bad guys here?

"the" implies that one of the sides was not guilty.
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