Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 19, 2013, 06:59:47 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Will the Democrats gain 9 net seats in the House?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: Will the Democrats make it over 200 seats in the House of Representatives?
Yes   -14 (82.4%)
No   -3 (17.6%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 17

Author Topic: Will the Democrats gain 9 net seats in the House?  (Read 246 times)
Speaker Dereich
Dereich
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1064


View Profile
« on: August 01, 2012, 01:06:13 pm »
Ignore
The forum seems agreed that the Democrats won't gain 25 seats, but will they gain 9? 9 would lead to a nice even 200 seats and seems about what they might get.
Logged
Federalist legislator for the IDS. I'm always available if you have concerns or suggestions!
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24373
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2012, 08:33:45 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Dereich on August 01, 2012, 01:06:13 pm
The forum seems agreed that the Democrats won't gain 25 seats, but will they gain 9? 9 would lead to a nice even 200 seats and seems about what they might get.

I looked into my crystal ball, and saw that the Dems have about a 40% chance of hitting the number 9 that you pose. The top of the bell curve is around 2-4 seats. Above a 10 seat gain, the percentage odds fall off rapidly.  The Pubs have built a rather formidable wall.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory