Where do you think the race is now?
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  Where do you think the race is now?
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Poll
Question: What do you think are the real national numbers?
#1
Obama +4 (or more)
 
#2
Obama +3
 
#3
Obama +2
 
#4
Obama +1
 
#5
Even
 
#6
Romney +1
 
#7
Romney +2
 
#8
Romney +3
 
#9
Romney +4
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Where do you think the race is now?  (Read 698 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: August 06, 2012, 09:00:51 PM »

Right now the RCP national avg has Obama at +3.4% ahead of Romney. Nate Sliver's 'now cast (which does some weighting and allocates undecideds) has Obama with +1.5%. Others here (and Dick Morris) have their own secret numbers.

So where do you think the race is right now?
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Lambsbread
20RP12
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2012, 09:22:34 PM »

Obama +2.7
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Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2012, 09:24:17 PM »

Obama +2 more or less.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2012, 10:37:34 PM »

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Reaganfan
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2012, 12:01:54 AM »

Obama +2
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2012, 12:09:21 AM »

+2 for Mr. O
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2012, 12:27:40 PM »

I'd like to hear the case from those who think the race is Romney +2.

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anvi
anvikshiki
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2012, 12:49:25 PM »

I agree with people saying it's O+2 or thereabouts right now.  But I've also noted the massive amounts of cash Romney has raised, and it will be interesting to see what happens when their spending spree begins in September.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2012, 12:50:43 PM »

In August.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2012, 12:53:51 PM »

I'd like to hear the case from those who think the race is Romney +2.


Winfield and Politico, presumably.
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xavier110
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2012, 12:55:55 PM »

51 O - 48 R
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mondale84
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« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2012, 01:33:22 PM »

Obama is ahead in all 50 states
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2012, 01:38:38 PM »

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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2012, 02:33:08 PM »

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2012, 02:46:05 PM »


Makes me so nostalgic for the bittersweet days of 2004.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2012, 02:49:28 PM »

O +2
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Smash255
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« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2012, 02:58:43 PM »

Obama +3 or so, so slightly larger than Bush's 04 margin, but with an EV lead quite a bit larger than Bush in 2004.
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