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| | | |-+  WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters
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Author Topic: WA-SurveyUSA: Inslee (D) by 3 now among Likely Voters  (Read 1498 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 04, 2012, 12:23:38 am »

48-45 Inslee/McKenna

http://www.king5.com/news/up-front/polls/KING-5-poll-Inslee-gains-ground-164955946.html
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bgwah
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2012, 12:30:04 am »
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Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2012, 06:26:36 pm »
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What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?
« Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 06:30:03 pm by greenforest32 »Logged
bgwah
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« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2012, 08:09:34 pm »
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What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?

I think every county except Piece was all-mail in 2008, so I doubt it would make much of a difference.
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Grad Students are the Worst
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« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2012, 03:47:44 pm »
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What percentage of the vote was done by mail in Washington's 2008 (gubernatorial) election? Is total turnout going to be higher this time now that it's 100% vote-by-mail?

I think every county except Piece was all-mail in 2008, so I doubt it would make much of a difference.

I may be wrong, but I thought that King also still had polling places in 2008.
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2012, 04:07:06 pm »
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Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.

I don't know why you're acting like this is still a race. We all know that Democrats will come home to roost and give Inslee the win. Fools gold for Republicans.
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bgwah
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2012, 08:33:51 pm »
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I wish I shared your optimism. Grin
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krazen1211
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« Reply #7 on: August 08, 2012, 08:16:00 am »
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Lean D, at the least. Sorry McKenna.
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Sheriff Buford TX Justice
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« Reply #8 on: August 08, 2012, 08:50:43 am »
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Is SurveyUSA still a credible source? I haven't seen them do much of anything good since 2005 or so.
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My parents are pretty good about smelling a rat. 
Let me put this as clear as I can (saying this to myself, as well, so I can see it): I WILL get a job with CADD and I WILL keep the job.
bgwah
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2012, 07:11:22 pm »
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This ended up pretty close to the primary result.
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Former Moderate
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« Reply #10 on: August 15, 2012, 11:34:53 am »
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Looks like the blue tendencies of the Washington electorate are finally starting to suffocate McKenna.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
Meeker
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« Reply #11 on: August 15, 2012, 03:40:50 pm »
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McKenna had a number of campaign stumbles in July as well. Inslee's ad campaign was easily the biggest factor though.
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sg0508
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2012, 03:42:14 pm »
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7-8 pt democratic win in Nov. Same as always here.  GOP leads over summer, but can't get above 45% and then they either run a bad campaign and/or the democrats come home in the end and that's it.  The fact that WA state elects it's governors in presidential years doesn't help the republicans here at all.
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SJG
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2012, 04:10:52 pm »
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I bet if McKenna was running as Republican in CO 2010, he would of probably beat Hickenlooper. I lived in north Seattle for a few years and knew how the 2004 govenor election turned out.
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2012, 10:47:06 pm »
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Yeah. McKenna is a goner.
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« Reply #15 on: September 01, 2012, 01:00:05 pm »
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Yeah. McKenna is a goner.

You guys are all writing this off way too soon. Sure, Mckenna made some silly blunders in July and early August... but once the money starts to pump in, this wont be more than a 4 point race either way.
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So it goes. heya.
Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2012, 08:24:59 pm »
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Yeah. McKenna is a goner.
No he's not.  It's one poll that's a month old and there's still enough time for something to happen.
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Quote from: Dwight D. Eisenhower
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When I voted for the first time a few weeks ago, I announced "damnit, I voted for Pat Buchanan!" Nobody got it.
sg0508
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« Reply #17 on: September 09, 2012, 02:25:58 pm »
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Encouraging, but I'll wait until Tuesday to believe it.

Just as a semi-related note, I do think minor candidates will hurt McKenna in the primary more than they hurt Inslee. That alone could give Inslee a first place finish in the primary. The only difference between 1st and 2nd in a top two, of course, is the media buzz. Which Inslee could definitely use.
The presidential year election really hurts the GOP in this state, but they have blown some races with some really bad candidates and/or platforms that are just too conservative for King County and the surrounding burbs, which are becoming bluer every year.

They need a moderate/conservative in there to win. The Nethercutt's, Rossi days won't fly.
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SJG
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