AN's "Swing State" Maps

[AmericanNation]

IF held today = Obama 303 / Romney 235(-34)
   "Swing" = Obama 243(-27) / Romney 206(-63) / Toss 89
"swing score"= Obama 60     /  Romney 29
Closest states to becoming tossups = NC, NV

[Senator Snowstalker]

Rhode Island is a tossup?

[AmericanNation]

Rhode Island is a tossup?

no, it was left blank... corrected.

[NSA is just two letters away from NSDAP]

The only poll showing Obama not leading in Florida since May has been Purple Strategies, an uproven pollster with no track record. Calling the state slight Romney makes no sense.

[5280/East California]

IF held today = Obama 303 / Romney 235(-34)
   "Swing" = Obama 243(-27) / Romney 206(-63) / Toss 89
"swing score"= Obama 60     /  Romney 29
Closest states to becoming tossups = NC, NV

CO is more of a tossup than NV, you're wrong on that. VA is barely for Obama, and AZ is solid Romney based on polls. FL is tossup still.

[AmericanNation]

CO is more of a tossup than NV, you're wrong on that. VA is barely for Obama, and AZ is solid Romney based on polls. FL is tossup still.

everything you said, is the way I have it.  ...except for the part about me being wrong.

[IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones]

IF held today = Obama 303 / Romney 235(-34)
   "Swing" = Obama 243(-27) / Romney 206(-63) / Toss 89
"swing score"= Obama 60     /  Romney 29
Closest states to becoming tossups = NC, NV

CO is more of a tossup than NV, you're wrong on that. VA is barely for Obama, and AZ is solid Romney based on polls. FL is tossup still.

I haven't seen a single poll with Romney ahead in NV; the same cannot be said for CO.

[AmericanNation]

The only poll showing Obama not leading in Florida since May has been Purple Strategies, an uproven pollster with no track record. Calling the state slight Romney makes no sense.

PPP has it O+1
Purple = R + 3
Quinnipiac looks all messed up with useless registered voter samples.

You should acknowledge their really hasn't been much good polling done in Florida lately.  

[NSA is just two letters away from NSDAP]

Also SurveyUSA has Obama +5 and Mason-Dixon has Obama +1. At worst (for Obama), the state is a tie. Also the last Quinnipiac poll was likely voters, not registered.

[AmericanNation]

CO is more of a tossup than NV, you're wrong on that. VA is barely for Obama, and AZ is solid Romney based on polls. FL is tossup still.

I haven't seen a single poll with Romney ahead in NV; the same cannot be said for CO.

Yea... CO IS a tossup.  NV is the closest lean dem state to becoming a tossup.  

[AmericanNation]

Also SurveyUSA has Obama +5 and Mason-Dixon has Obama +1. At worst (for Obama), the state is a tie.

It's Romney+1 on the map.  I'll flip it when I see some better polling for either side.  I could have left it blank, but I think it's better to leave it very slight lean R until we have some reason to think otherwise.  The state leans that way, Romney has been out of the country, The Veepstakes are around the corner, and the convention is in Tampa for crying out loud.       

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Watch Obama win NV by double digits again.

[krazen1211]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

[5280/East California]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

That's what I meant to say.

My bad AmericanNation.

[realisticidealist]

Watch Obama win NV by double digits again.

After Reid beating the polls by so much in 2010, it wouldn't surprise me. Nevada's only grown more hispanic since 2008.

[AmericanNation]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

That's what I meant to say.

My bad AmericanNation.

Like how?  more D? or even?

[BaldEagle1991]

I'm still wondering how Florida is under Romney's camp.

[krazen1211]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

That's what I meant to say.

My bad AmericanNation.

Like how?  more D? or even?

Even.

[realisticidealist]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

That's what I meant to say.

My bad AmericanNation.

Like how?  more D? or even?

Even.

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

[AmericanNation]

Iowa and Colorado are colored wrongly.

That's what I meant to say.

My bad AmericanNation.

Like how?  more D? or even?

Even.

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

It has been tied in CO though.

[krazen1211]

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

It has been tied in CO though.

Hah. Spoke too soon.

[AmericanNation]

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

It has been tied in CO though.

Hah. Spoke too soon.

that's really good news

[realisticidealist]

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

It has been tied in CO though.

Hah. Spoke too soon.

that's really good news

Something happened to Connecticut...

[AmericanNation]

yea, I'm finding weird things happen when you drag an image.  They particularly happen in the southern region of New England. 

[True Federalist]

Iowa maybe, but Romney has yet to lead a poll out of Colorado.

It has been tied in CO though.

Hah. Spoke too soon.

that's really good news

Not really, that Colorado poll by Quinnipac has multiple markers of being heavily skewed towards the Republicans.  Once you correct for any of them, it is a slight Obama poll, not a Lean Romney.