Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS - WI: Obama +6, VA: Obama +4, CO: Romney +5 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS - WI: Obama +6, VA: Obama +4, CO: Romney +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS - WI: Obama +6, VA: Obama +4, CO: Romney +5  (Read 4808 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« on: August 08, 2012, 05:16:43 AM »
« edited: August 08, 2012, 05:44:24 AM by Secret Pollster »

Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS Poll on Swing States

Wisconsin
Obama: 51
Romney: 45

Virginia
Obama 49
Romney: 45

Colorado
Obama 45
Romney: 50

Likely Voters, 7/31-8/6/12

Article: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/08/us/politics/polls-see-sharp-divide-in-3-swing-states.html?hp
Graphs: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/swing-state-polls
Details: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/08/08/us/politics/08poll-results-documents.html

This is a follow up to last weeks NYT/CBS Swing State Poll of FL, OH, PA
discussed here: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=156770.0
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2012, 08:49:55 AM »

I dont think the Bain ads ran in CO, plus both campaigns went off the air after Aurora.

When you look at the data, the CO crosstabs are odd. Not only does it have GOP +10 weight, the age breakdown has 38% of 65+ (it was 22% in 2010, which was a GOP wave year). I think it is just an outlier (like Quinnipiac's FL poll from last week).

But put them all in the blender and you get a close race in CO, probably right around the nat'l avg.
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