True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,156
|
 |
« on: August 08, 2012, 12:04:16 PM » |
|
The metric I like to look at when they include it is the "who did you vote for last time" question.
Colorado:
Poll: O+2
Actual: O+9
Virginia:
Poll: O+9
Actual: O+7
Wisconsin:
Poll:O+13
Actual: O+14
Granted, people can move between states, forget who they voted for, or simply lie to the pollster, But those numbers are another indication that the Colorado result is skewed towards the Republicans since the difference is beyond the MoE for the poll.
If one were to adjust the toplines to have the poll samples conform to actual 2008 results, you'd end up with: CO: O+2, VA: O+2, WI: O+7.
|
