1968: Johnson vs. Nixon vs. Wallace.
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  1968: Johnson vs. Nixon vs. Wallace.
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Author Topic: 1968: Johnson vs. Nixon vs. Wallace.  (Read 6654 times)
retromike22
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« on: August 08, 2012, 05:25:01 PM »

Lyndon Johnson never says "I shall not seek, nor will I accept, the nomination of my party for a second term as your President."

What do you think would happen?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2012, 06:01:44 PM »

He'll easily overpower RFK at Chicago but it will be even more brutal than RL. In the GE flip a coin.
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hcallega
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« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2012, 09:00:52 PM »

Johnson fares worse than Humphrey, due to voter anger and a decrease in support among white liberals combined with a lack of substantial gains among any other voter demographics.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #3 on: August 08, 2012, 10:32:48 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2012, 10:37:46 PM by Speaker Jbrase »

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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2012, 03:19:04 PM »

Jbrase's map, but flip Michigan and/or Pennsylvania.
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Tricky Dickie
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2012, 02:28:21 PM »

I can see an independent fourth party picking up votes.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2012, 12:16:33 AM »

Does Wallace stand a chance at picking up TX?
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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: August 24, 2012, 04:18:11 AM »

Johnson might win re-election, but also might do worse than Humphrey. It's hard to say.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2012, 11:13:40 AM »

Does Wallace stand a chance at picking up TX?

No.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2012, 12:38:48 PM »

Easy.  Johnson and the Vietnam war were so unpopular that Nixon would have definitely won.
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dougie77
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2014, 12:46:47 PM »

I have the South backing Johnson because of the war.Repubs dominate from 1972-2000 then.
OKLA-Johnson
ARK-Johnson
LA-Johnson
Missouri-Johnson
Virginia,Kentucky,Tennessee-Johnson(TVA,economic portion of New Deal).
I also have Illinois becaue of Daley.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: November 13, 2014, 07:41:08 AM »
« Edited: November 13, 2014, 07:44:26 AM by President Johnson »


President Lyndon B. Johnson/Vice President Hubert Humphrey: 281 EV. 45.0%
Former Vice President Richard Nixon/Governor Spiro Agnew: 218 EV. 43.1%
Governor George Wallace/General Curtis LeMay: 39 EV. 10.6%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #12 on: November 15, 2014, 02:20:15 AM »

The above map,except give Maine,Virginia,New Jersey and Connecticut to Nixon and Missouri, New Mexico, and Arkansas to Johnson.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #13 on: November 22, 2014, 04:30:37 PM »

Nixon wins big... There's a reason RFK and Eugene McCarthy gained so much traction in the first place (Vietnam) and that would help both Nixon and Wallace. Johnson might only win Texas and possibly Illinois. Wallace takes what he won IRL plus South Carolina, Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee and Florida. Nixon takes everything else.
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shua
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« Reply #14 on: November 22, 2014, 09:18:24 PM »

Nixon does significantly better than IRL as a vote for LBJ is more clearly a vote for the status quo.  Wallace does slightly better among Northern Democrats and slightly worse among Southern Democrats than against HHH. The Left stays home or votes for minor/protest candidates.




Nixon/Agnew  47%  383

LBJ/HHH         38%  110   
Wallace/LeMay 14%   45
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #15 on: November 22, 2014, 09:27:07 PM »

Nixon wins big... There's a reason RFK and Eugene McCarthy gained so much traction in the first place (Vietnam) and that would help both Nixon and Wallace. Johnson might only win Texas and possibly Illinois. Wallace takes what he won IRL plus South Carolina, Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee and Florida. Nixon takes everything else.
I still think that Nixon would end up carrying Virginia, as the state was much more Republican on the Presidential level in 1968 and Nixon still won most counties despite George Wallace's presence. Other than that, I agree with you about the other states.
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