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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Which scenario is more likely?
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Question: ...
Scenario A   -6 (28.6%)
Scenario B   -15 (71.4%)
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Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Which scenario is more likely?  (Read 691 times)
Scott
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« on: August 09, 2012, 05:14:48 pm »
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Scenario A: Arkansas electing a pro-choice, pro-marijuana governor who actively fights for LGBT causes in his state

Scenario B: Massachusetts electing a pro-life, staunchly anti-gun control governor who actively fights for a constitutional ban on gay marriage in his state

Lean scenario B.
« Last Edit: August 09, 2012, 05:17:27 pm by Senator Scott »Logged
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2012, 05:54:10 pm »
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Both of them are more likely than Alabama electing a black... but, still, I think A is more likely. Romney could be elected again there in 2014 or 2018 if he doesn't win this election, but it's higly unlikely.

EDIT: When I said A, I was referring to B...
« Last Edit: August 11, 2012, 07:07:18 pm by JulioMadrid »Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
All In For KC
tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2012, 06:26:01 pm »
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In a battle of two near impossible scenario's, I must go with B.
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xavier110
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E: -5.94, S: -7.83

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« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2012, 07:00:57 pm »
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I would say A, if Democrats continue to have a local/statewide apparatus and run a successful candidate for governor who campaigns as a moderate but governs .... radically for Arkansas.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2012, 07:35:28 pm »
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Scenario B: Massachusetts electing a pro-life, staunchly anti-gun control governor who actively fights for a constitutional ban on gay marriage in his state

Done! Cheesy



Oh wait, that's a description of him now.
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Scott
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2012, 08:21:01 pm »
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Supposedly, it's all about style and not about substance in politics these days, so maybe someday either of those states could elect people like that if the candidates are better at connecting with the voters than their opponents.  I doubt something like that will happen any time soon, though.
« Last Edit: August 09, 2012, 08:28:17 pm by Senator Scott »Logged
Snowstalker
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E: -8.45, S: -4.26

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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2012, 09:29:05 am »
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Probably A. Had you said a different Southern state besides VA, MO, NC, GA, FL, or TX, I'd have said B.
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