50% (+2) Martin Heinrich (D)
41% (-4) HeatherWilson (R)
Heinrich has expanded his lead over Wilson in the race for U.S. Senate. Since the time of our baseline survey in May, Martin Heinrich has expanded his lead over Heather Wilson from three points (48% to 45%) to nine points (50% to 41%).
Much of the improvement in Heinrich’s vote has come from two key subgroups of the electorate that will be critical to the outcome in November: independents and women.
Among registered independents, Heinrich has gone from a four-point deficit to Wilson in May (with 44% of the independent vote to her 48%) to a nineteen-point lead (55% to 36%).
Among women, Heinrich has expanded his lead from eight points in May (50% to 42%) to twenty points today (55% to 35%).
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/NewMexicoPublicMemo8-12Final.pdf
