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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
International Elections
(Moderator:
Sibboleth
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Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
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Topic: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012 (Read 4823 times)
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #100 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:41:08 pm »
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:39:28 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 pm
54-44 to be precise. Damn. Better luck next time.
There will be no next time for some 20 years I'm afraid.
I'm not a fan of the man, but if he was going to do away with the democratic process (or turn it into a complete sham) then he'd have done so years ago. So you lost an election. Happens. No need to be so melodramatic.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27120
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #101 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:42:28 pm »
Wonderful news!
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Full Member
Posts: 191
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #102 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:44:12 pm »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on October 07, 2012, 09:41:08 pm
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:39:28 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 pm
54-44 to be precise. Damn. Better luck next time.
There will be no next time for some 20 years I'm afraid.
I'm not a fan of the man, but if he was going to do away with the democratic process (or turn it into a complete sham) then he'd have done so years ago. So you lost an election. Happens. No need to be so melodramatic.
His recent human rights record shows he is moving away from acceptable standards. He's just denounced the American Convention on Human Rights and can reform the Constitution as much as he want.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7609
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #103 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:46:48 pm »
In my head, never really expected Chavez to lose, the advantages of incumbency are just too strong. Thought the margin would be a bit smaller though. On the bright side the opposition has a president-in-waiting.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
oakvale
YaBB God
Posts: 6276
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #104 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm »
Logged
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 850
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #105 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:48:45 pm »
Tibisay Lucena, the President of the Nat. Electoral Council says that Chávez got 54.4% of the vote and Capriles 44%. 90% counted. Turnout 81%.
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:39:28 pm
There will be no next time for some 20 years I'm afraid.
Chávez won't last 20 years and he has not a sucessor. Capriles would be perfectly the next president.
Logged
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #106 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm »
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
oakvale
YaBB God
Posts: 6276
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #107 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm »
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
Logged
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27120
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #108 on:
October 07, 2012, 09:59:16 pm »
"Gracias Dios mío! Gracias a todos y a todas!!" Chavez tweets.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
Posts: 7609
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #109 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:03:35 pm »
I hope the opposition is heartened by the gains instead of getting demoralized and throwing in the towel.
Logged
+7.35, +3.65
Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered. It's exactly what it deserves.
後援会
koenkai
YaBB God
Posts: 1298
Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -2.52
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #110 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:05:42 pm »
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
That's really an unjustified insult to Mayor Daley. As much we joke about dead people votes,
Daley and Chavez are incomparable.
Unless you're saying that Chavez is a 45 on the Daley to Stalin scale. Which I could buy, but being in the mid 40's on an Anyone to Stalin scale is a bad thing.
Logged
The opinions and views expressed above are mine alone and do not represent the opinions or views of any other individual, organization, or government.
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #111 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:06:25 pm »
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
Yeah, I agree that some people like to portray him as some kind of totalitarian monster, which, as this election proves, he clearly isn't. The sad things is that these people are also likely to support
real
dictators as long as they abide to their neoliberal dogma.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
YaBB God
Posts: 6535
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #112 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:24:55 pm »
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:44:12 pm
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on October 07, 2012, 09:41:08 pm
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:39:28 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 pm
54-44 to be precise. Damn. Better luck next time.
There will be no next time for some 20 years I'm afraid.
I'm not a fan of the man, but if he was going to do away with the democratic process (or turn it into a complete sham) then he'd have done so years ago. So you lost an election. Happens. No need to be so melodramatic.
His recent human rights record shows he is moving away from acceptable standards. He's just denounced the American Convention on Human Rights and can reform the Constitution as much as he want.
So? Canada and United States never ratified that Convention. (Canada over abortion issues, United States over death penalty)
Logged
Vote UKIP!
MasterSanders
YaBB God
Posts: 1001
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #113 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:31:03 pm »
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 10:06:25 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
Yeah, I agree that some people like to portray him as some kind of totalitarian monster, which, as this election proves, he clearly isn't. The sad things is that these people are also likely to support
real
dictators as long as they abide to their neoliberal dogma.
I agree. Totalitarian dictators usually don't win by 10 points.
They tend to win by 20 point margins.
«
Last Edit: October 07, 2012, 10:33:09 pm by MasterSanders
»
Logged
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24662
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #114 on:
October 07, 2012, 10:53:33 pm »
Quote from: MasterSanders on October 07, 2012, 10:31:03 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 10:06:25 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
Yeah, I agree that some people like to portray him as some kind of totalitarian monster, which, as this election proves, he clearly isn't. The sad things is that these people are also likely to support
real
dictators as long as they abide to their neoliberal dogma.
I agree. Totalitarian dictators usually don't win by 10 points.
They tend to win by 20 point margins.
More like 80-90 point margins, actually. For those who even bother holding elections.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
oakvale
YaBB God
Posts: 6276
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #115 on:
October 07, 2012, 11:06:15 pm »
Quote from: 後援会 on October 07, 2012, 10:05:42 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:50:09 pm
Quote from: Californian Tony on October 07, 2012, 09:49:08 pm
Quote from: Oakvale on October 07, 2012, 09:47:15 pm
You're a Chavez supporter, Oakvale ? Didn't expect that.
Oh, no, not really, I'm being somewhat facetious - I just think some people are overreacting. Chavez is more Mayor Daley than Joseph Stalin.
That's really an unjustified insult to Mayor Daley. As much we joke about dead people votes,
Daley and Chavez are incomparable.
Unless you're saying that Chavez is a 45 on the Daley to Stalin scale. Which I could buy, but being in the mid 40's on an Anyone to Stalin scale is a bad thing.
Um, I'll freely and
gladly
take this back if I'm mistaken, but aren't you a Pinochet fan?
I'm not saying that particular bit of whataboutery excuses Chavez's human rights violations, mind - I thought it was self-evident that my post was somewhat tongue-in-cheek.
Logged
A-Bob
YaBB God
Posts: 5892
Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 1.13
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #116 on:
October 07, 2012, 11:14:01 pm »
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27987
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #117 on:
October 07, 2012, 11:36:56 pm »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 03, 2012, 01:12:27 am
Prediction:
54% Chavez
44% Capriles
2% Others
Should have sticked with this ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27987
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #118 on:
October 08, 2012, 12:48:22 am »
Map:
Miranda and Lara are pretty close.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13927
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #119 on:
October 08, 2012, 01:49:54 am »
What a surprise!
Logged
Leftbehind
YaBB God
Posts: 1607
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #120 on:
October 08, 2012, 02:23:32 am »
Good news.
Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27987
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #121 on:
October 08, 2012, 03:39:29 am »
Chavez has now taken a 700-vote lead in Miranda and increased his lead in Lara to about 1%.
That leaves Tachira and Merida as the only Capriles-states.
Interesting that Zulia is not backing Capriles.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 29150
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #122 on:
October 08, 2012, 04:28:16 am »
I'm thinking Freedom House's 5 score for political right's is too harsh in light of there being a 54-44 election.
Logged
London Man
Silent Hunter
YaBB God
Posts: 5587
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #123 on:
October 08, 2012, 04:30:49 am »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on October 07, 2012, 09:41:08 pm
Quote from: Paleobrazilian on October 07, 2012, 09:39:28 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 pm
54-44 to be precise. Damn. Better luck next time.
There will be no next time for some 20 years I'm afraid.
I'm not a fan of the man, but if he was going to do away with the democratic process (or turn it into a complete sham) then he'd have done so years ago. So you lost an election. Happens. No need to be so melodramatic.
Agree. He's not a dictator, just a dodgy 'democrat'.
Logged
Visit my blog at
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Shilly
YaBB God
Posts: 531
Political Matrix
E: -5.68, S: -4.00
Re: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012
«
Reply #124 on:
October 08, 2012, 05:57:49 am »
Maps!
Right click for full size.
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