If Wisconsin Democrats win the trifecta by 2014...
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  If Wisconsin Democrats win the trifecta by 2014...
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Author Topic: If Wisconsin Democrats win the trifecta by 2014...  (Read 830 times)
Miles
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« on: September 04, 2012, 12:53:52 AM »

should they attempt a mid-decade redistricting?

This is what I came up with; Ryan was the primary target while Duffy would also get a more hostile district.

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morgieb
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« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2012, 01:12:30 AM »

How gerrymandered was the previous map?
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2012, 01:24:48 AM »


This is the map that Republicans passed. My lines are uglier.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2012, 01:31:52 AM »

Shouldn't the dems at least be able to draw half dem seats?
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krazen1211
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2012, 07:20:08 AM »

I welcome them to try. Mostly because the Wisconsin Assembly is so baconstripped that the chances of this happening are nil.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2012, 10:49:27 AM »

What Krazen said. The congressional map isn't that bad, as it is still theoretically possible for the Democrats to win 6 out of the 8 seats, but the Senate and Assembly maps are brutal, especially around Milwaukee. Also even if they got the trifecta back they can't do mid-decade redistricting. The constitution states that redistricting will only be done in the beginning of each decade after the census.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2012, 11:09:56 AM »

I welcome them to try. Mostly because the Wisconsin Assembly is so baconstripped that the chances of this happening are nil.

http://legis.wisconsin.gov/senate/miller/redistrictingfiles/Documents/ADAMFOLZSUPPPROD000495.pdf

Assembly-

Before:

27 safe GOP
13 lean GOP
19 swing
7 lean Dem
33 safe Dem


After:

34 safe GOP
18 lean GOP
9 swing
6 lean Dem
32 safe Dem


Senate-

Before:

7 safe GOP
8 lean GOP
5 swing
3 lean Dem
10 safe Dem


After:

9 safe GOP
7 lean GOP
4 swing
2 lean Dem
11 safe Dem



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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2012, 11:43:53 AM »

Yeah, the Assembly is going to Republican for the next decade unless there is a wave that is probably greater then 2006. The Senate is still possible, but the Democrats would only have a very small majority. Only way to reverse this map will be to win the 2018 governor race. 
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2012, 04:45:13 PM »

Minnesota actually looks like a more promising prospect for a mid-decade Democratic redistricting. 
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #9 on: September 04, 2012, 05:25:27 PM »

Minnesota actually looks like a more promising prospect for a mid-decade Democratic redistricting. 

Won't happen. Not the way politics are done in Minnesota, as far as I know.
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muon2
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« Reply #10 on: September 04, 2012, 05:47:56 PM »

Minnesota actually looks like a more promising prospect for a mid-decade Democratic redistricting. 

Won't happen. Not the way politics are done in Minnesota, as far as I know.

Indeed. The "Minnesota nice" label applies in politics, too. Any pol or party who gets too self-serving usually gets served the door by the voters. Things can still be partisan, but partisanship must be tempered.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: September 04, 2012, 08:48:30 PM »

Minnesota actually looks like a more promising prospect for a mid-decade Democratic redistricting. 

Won't happen. Not the way politics are done in Minnesota, as far as I know.

Indeed. The "Minnesota nice" label applies in politics, too. Any pol or party who gets too self-serving usually gets served the door by the voters. Things can still be partisan, but partisanship must be tempered.

Same reason why you would never see the Democrats try to split up the Twin Cities and send them into the suburbs and why you would never see the Republicans try to consolidate the Twin Cities into one district and bring the suburbs into the outer city.
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