How would this hypothetical state vote?

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

Tilly

Population: 15,985,250
Urban: 93%
Major Cities: 0
Smaller Cities: 6

White (non-Hipsanic): 89%
Black: 1%
Hispanic: 3%
Asian: 3%
Other: 3%

Catholic: 24%
Mainline Protestant: 40%
Evangelical Protestant: 13%
Other: 10%
Not religious: 13%

Educational level: High school (91%), college (38%)

Economy: mining, primary industries, manufacturing, logging, financial services, telecommunications, tourism, services, military

Median Income: $75,500

[NY Jew]

hookland


Population: 2,301,000
Urban: 100%
Major Cities: 1
Smaller Cities: 0

White (non-Hipsanic): 59%
Black: 3%
Hispanic: 15%
Asian: 22%
Other: 1%

Catholic: 45%
Jewish 30%
Other/Not religious: 15%
Protestant: 10%


Educational level: High school (85%), college (33%)

Economy: services, financial services

Median Income: $57,000

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

Safe D, given most of the whites appear to be Jews.

[NY Jew]

Safe D, given most of the whites appear to be Jews.

I based those numbers on an extremely gerrymandered area only in NYC (every single part of this "state" is connected by either land or water) that voted for McCain by 2 votes (thanks in a large part to that Jewish vote)

the area covers areas in all 5 boroughs.

[後援会]

Well, Jews are hardly a homogenous voting bloc. Russian Jews and Orthodox Jews (who I assume pushed McCain over the top) vote very differently from Jews whose families came over in the 1880's.

[NY Jew]

Well, Jews are hardly a homogenous voting bloc. Russian Jews and Orthodox Jews (who I assume pushed McCain over the top) vote very differently from Jews whose families came over in the 1880's.

1. my numbers were assuming that the area in question seceded from NY state.  In actuality this state would be a solid conservative Democratic seat (think Manny Celler) and could go Republican when they go left Like Obama, Weprin, Fidler ext.  The area is demographically trending democrat (may eventually reveres itself due to Orthodox birth rates) but the people are trending Republican

2. there are quite a few Orthodox Jews who's families (at least part of it) came over in the 1880's.   On my father side part of my family might have been here since the 1880's.  My maternal Grandmother was born on the Lower East Side in the teens which is very similar to the avg American Jew Orthodox, or atheist.  The only difference was she stayed Orthodox and they abandoned Judaism.