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| | |-+  What time will the Election be called?
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Poll
Question: What time will it be over?
6-7PM   -2 (4.3%)
8-9PM   -4 (8.7%)
10-11PM   -19 (41.3%)
12-1AM   -14 (30.4%)
Wednesday Morning   -7 (15.2%)
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Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: What time will the Election be called?  (Read 571 times)
Clinton 2016
diskymike44
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« on: August 12, 2012, 09:22:03 pm »
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?
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LINCOLN REPUBLICAN
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2012, 09:34:06 pm »
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12-1AM for Romney.
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Lieutenant Governor Clinton1996
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2012, 09:35:05 pm »
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12-1 AM for Obama/Biden.
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2012, 09:42:54 pm »
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10-11 pm for Obama.
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Lief
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2012, 09:45:50 pm »
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10-11 pm for Obama.

If I had top put money on one of these options, this one. Doesn't mean it's a certainty or anything, just the most likely.
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Harry
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2012, 10:09:40 pm »
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Last time was 10-11 for Obama, so I doubt it will be any sooner.
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BushKenya
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2012, 10:48:39 pm »
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For the record, Option 4 and 5 are the same thing.  I chose Option 5 as in 1:00 am CST for Obama/Biden.
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« Reply #7 on: August 13, 2012, 03:26:16 am »
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11:01 PM ET for Obama
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: August 13, 2012, 05:43:00 am »

I don't understand the poll options.  If I think it'll be 11:15pm, that's neither 10-11pm, nor 12-1am, is it?  By 10-11pm, do you mean to include everything up until 11:59pm?

In any case, it's highly unlikely to be called before 11pm unless it's a Romney landslide.  Polls in the West Coast states won't be closed until 11pm Eastern, so none of those states can be called until then.  How does Obama win enough states to get 270 EVs without CA, OR, WA, or HI, doing so by a large enough margin that those 270 EVs are all called before 11pm?  If Romney wins, then I guess he could do it, since he'd probably win without the West Coast states, but I still suspect he wouldn't win by a large enough margin to have all his states called before 11pm.
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« Reply #9 on: August 13, 2012, 05:49:39 am »
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Midnightish for Obama.
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« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2012, 09:06:35 am »
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12-1AM for Romney.
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« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2012, 10:45:08 am »
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10-11pm
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Grumps
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« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2012, 12:11:29 pm »
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I would rather take bets on the time Rachel Maddow has an orgasm on air as they call more Obama states.
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« Reply #13 on: August 13, 2012, 12:11:39 pm »
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I say it could range from 11-1 for Obama. It may take a little longer than 2008 but I think he will pull it out if he maintains the lead.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2012, 12:12:19 pm »
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Not too long after the west coast closes.
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« Reply #15 on: August 13, 2012, 12:14:13 pm »
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I'm pretty sure California will be the official nail in the Romney coffin. And even if it's not, it should be pretty clear by the time its EVs are awarded to Obama that Romney is all but finished.
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« Reply #16 on: August 13, 2012, 12:36:55 pm »
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The election will be over when the polls close in California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2012, 01:53:21 pm »
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I don't understand the poll options.  If I think it'll be 11:15pm, that's neither 10-11pm, nor 12-1am, is it?  By 10-11pm, do you mean to include everything up until 11:59pm?

In any case, it's highly unlikely to be called before 11pm unless it's a Romney landslide.  Polls in the West Coast states won't be closed until 11pm Eastern, so none of those states can be called until then.  How does Obama win enough states to get 270 EVs without CA, OR, WA, or HI, doing so by a large enough margin that those 270 EVs are all called before 11pm?  If Romney wins, then I guess he could do it, since he'd probably win without the West Coast states, but I still suspect he wouldn't win by a large enough margin to have all his states called before 11pm.


As he did last time. Ohio was close in 2008, but it was called at 9:23 ET for President Obama. At that point Ohio counted its votes fast.  Virginia, Florida, and Colorado were not called before the results came in from the West Coast. At that point Senator Obama had 195 electoral votes. Such would have been enough before the sure-thing states of Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, and California. Twelve more from Iowa and New Mexico would go for the President before 11PM ET, but those would not make a difference in view of the then certainty of the West Coast.

News media were slow to call Florida because of 2000... and Virginia because the media couldn't decide until the voting was nearly complete that the state was going for Senator Obama because it hadn't gone for any Democratic nominee after the 1964 LBJ shellacking of Barry Goldwater.   

Of course president Obama won Iowa and Wisconsin instantly, neither of which is a sure thing so far.
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Senator Ben
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« Reply #18 on: August 13, 2012, 08:04:35 pm »
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Probably around midnight, although it may be apparent earlier.
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« Reply #19 on: August 13, 2012, 08:31:54 pm »
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11:47 PM ET

Take it to the bank.
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« Reply #20 on: August 13, 2012, 11:04:24 pm »
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Anywhere from 12-1, in favor of Romney.
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« Reply #21 on: August 14, 2012, 08:01:40 am »
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Somewhere between 10PM and 1AM for either candidate.
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