My hunch of what post-Ryan looks like

[Person Man]

Obama seems to be stabilizing in the West and Midwest but Romney seems to be doing better in the south. With the bounce, he could probably win...if they keep the fire going. Seriously, though. Looks like the Ohio and Florida meme will hold this year if it this election doesn't become some degree of noncompetitive. The main thing is that with the frost belt losing votes and the mountains becoming competitive or easier for Democrats, the numbers really haven't changed that much in the last 15 years.

2000- 203 D, 206 R, 129 I

2012- 207 D, 206 R, 125 I

[Yelnoc]

Michigan is not a tossup.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Michigan is not a tossup.

Nor Pennsylvania.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Michigan is not a tossup.

Nor Pennsylvania.

I'd say Pennsylvania before Michigan.

[pepper11]

Michigan is solid Obama unless its a blowout. PA will be very close and could go Romney but is unlikely to be a tipping point state.

[Napoleon]

West Virginia (and maybe TN) should be a toss-up in your 2000 map.

[J. J.]

There is no way WV is a toss-up, unless Obama drops out.

MI and PA are not toss-ups either, at this point.  If you take out those two, and assign the leaners, I think the third map is correct.

[Napoleon]

There is no way WV is a toss-up, unless Obama drops out.

WV wouldn't be a toss-up even if Obama did drop out. But in 2000, it was a toss up.

[Person Man]

I'm just trying to make the map as even as possible.