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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  The Official Absentee & Early Voting Reports Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Absentee & Early Voting Reports Thread  (Read 43506 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 16, 2012, 12:13:40 am »
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http://reed.edu/earlyvoting/calendar

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
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greenforest32
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2012, 12:28:34 am »
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Any forecasts on what percent of the total vote(s) will be done in September and October?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2012, 12:31:06 am »
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North Carolina starts exactly in 3 weeks on September 6/7.

Which is right after Obama's speech at the DNC (which is also held in NC).

So, if Obama got a bounce from the DNC, it should show up in the early absentee voting numbers.

Even though Obama's NC absentee numbers from 2008 will be very hard to beat ...

51% of NC early votes were Dems, just 30% were Republicans.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2012, 12:31:47 am »
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Any forecasts on what percent of the total vote(s) will be done in September and October?

Check out my link above.

I guess Prof. McDonald will create a 2012 page soon.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2012, 12:34:54 am »
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In 2008, 60% of all voters in NC voted before Election Day.

So, we should definitely track the partsian composition of these early voters there.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2012, 12:39:43 am »
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The partisan makeup of the NC voters hasn't changed much in the past 4 years.

In August 2008, 45% were Dems and 33% GOPers.

Now, 43% are Dems and 31% GOPers.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2012, 12:41:33 am »
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Any forecasts on what percent of the total vote(s) will be done in September and October?

Check out my link above.

I guess Prof. McDonald will create a 2012 page soon.

Thanks. You can really see the dominance of vote by mail in Colorado there. I think they may become the third postal voting state.
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King
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2012, 02:08:56 am »
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Yet this election still feels dead in the water.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2012, 09:35:14 am »
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The share of Blacks among NC registered voters has increased from 21% to 22% in the past 4 years. The share of Hispanics has increased from 1% to 2%.

I don't know if we get daily updates, but this will be interesting to watch.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: August 26, 2012, 09:46:47 am »
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North Carolina is a state where the Democrats should feel confident in their voter registration. Same as Nevada, although there are many fewer Democrats in Clark County than October 2008 close of registration.
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« Reply #10 on: August 26, 2012, 05:57:49 pm »
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So many people will vote before the debates, and potentially before a possible Iran attack or other October events...

Call me old fashion but I think voting should be a national statement of opinion as of a single day or so (except for valid traditional absentee voting from people who cannot get to the polls on election day).

I would prefer a weekend vote with polls open 6 AM to 9 PM.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: September 04, 2012, 12:57:44 pm »
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Bump !

We should be able to track the daily absentee returns in NC, starting on Saturday or so. Maybe it takes a bit longer though for the ballots to be returned, so maybe some time next week.

But their site says:

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General Election Absentee reports will be available after 09/07/2012.

http://www.ncsbe.gov
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« Reply #12 on: September 04, 2012, 07:26:50 pm »
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I have a bit of a split opinion about absentee voting. It is, on the one side, important for those unable to go to a polling station. And you should have enough time to send your ballot in. On the other hand it spreads out the timespan where people are voting.

I definitely makes more sense to have elections on the weekend. No hassles about squeezing in a trip to the polling station for working people.

Europe does this. Still there is also a strong trend toward absentee voting in Europe as well.

All in all I would like to see more people actually going to the polls.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2012, 12:32:00 am »
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BUMP !

Absentee ballots are mailed out starting today in North Carolina.
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Lief
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« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2012, 12:38:31 am »
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Yeah, I'm all for making voting as easy as possible, but this voting two months before the actual election day business is nonsense.

On another note, New York doesn't have in-person early voting? What a dumb state I moved to.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2012, 02:10:40 am »
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Prof. Michael McDonald now has his 2012 early voting site up:

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

Can any of the moderators sticky this please ?
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Sheriff Buford TX Justice
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« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2012, 09:12:31 am »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #17 on: September 07, 2012, 09:13:48 am »
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Stickified

You actually unstickied it, because someone else already stickied it ... Tongue

Can you sticky it again, please ?
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Sheriff Buford TX Justice
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« Reply #18 on: September 07, 2012, 09:26:21 am »

Psh, always my fault, isn't it?
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My parents are pretty good about smelling a rat. 
Let me put this as clear as I can (saying this to myself, as well, so I can see it): I WILL get a job with CADD and I WILL keep the job.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: September 07, 2012, 01:32:20 pm »
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Quote
The first mail ballots have been sent to North Carolina voters. As of Friday mid-morning, election officials have mailed 5,085 ballots to 17,724 voters who submitted requests.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-has-started_b_1864741.html
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #20 on: September 07, 2012, 10:40:11 pm »
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Is there a party breakdown for the requests? or just the mailed-in ballots at the tail end of the process?


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Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: September 08, 2012, 12:02:12 am »
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Is there a party breakdown for the requests? or just the mailed-in ballots at the tail end of the process?

I think they only track the returned ballots by party breakdown.

At the end of the early voting period it was about 51% D and 30% R in 2008.

So, we have to wait until the early voting period is over this year to make comparisons, because all the days will have different breakdowns.
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« Reply #22 on: September 08, 2012, 06:08:09 am »
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Absentee / by-mail voting, except for a few select groups, makes no sense whatsoever, has massive secrecy issues, and should be flat-out outlawed. By the SC if necessary.
Early voting has all its advantages and no such problems, though two months seems way excessive.
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« Reply #23 on: September 08, 2012, 10:49:17 am »
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Voting before the debates is silly. I think early voting should be restricted until the debates are done.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #24 on: September 08, 2012, 04:00:26 pm »
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And the first votes are cast.

North Carolina returned Military Absentees.

1 White Republican
1 Unaffiliated African American

http://ftp://www.app.sboe.state.nc.us/enrs/absentee11xx06xx2012_counts_county.csv
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