The Official Absentee & Early Voting Reports Thread

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

ah, the problem with these sorts of things.

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

   The SUSA poll that came out yesterday of Ohio had 18% of total voters saying they had already voted.  This implies a total early vote of about 1 million, and I believe the total early vote so far according to Professor Mcdonald's site is only around half that.  Of course lots of ballots are in the mail, but I wonder if alot of people who said they have already voted actually mean they are going to shortly.

probablty, the inaccuracy of these kinds of things really annoys me

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

Any forecasts on what percent of the total vote(s) will be done in September and October?

Check out my link above.

I guess Prof. McDonald will create a 2012 page soon.

Thanks. You can really see the dominance of vote by mail in Colorado there. I think they may become the third postal voting state.

I just came across this link[1] with more stats on this, including for all the states. I didn't realize vote-by-mail was such a big thing in Arizona too.

[1] http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/10/07/us/voting-by-mail.html

while their not swing states, Oregon and Washington with almost all votes by mail, so a postale problem could be incredibly serious.