YouGov: After Ryan pick, Obama increases lead from 1 to 3 points
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  YouGov: After Ryan pick, Obama increases lead from 1 to 3 points		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: YouGov: After Ryan pick, Obama increases lead from 1 to 3 points  (Read 496 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 15, 2012, 08:55:43 AM »
47-44 Obama

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/lfu8cg1oh5/econToplines.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2012, 08:57:02 AM »
Was 46-45 Obama last week.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2012, 12:22:47 PM »
It's too early to tell whether the Ryan pick is a disaster according to the polls. It just hasn't sunk in yet. On the surface it is a blunder in that Wisconsin is only on the fringe of contention, and that Ryan has no experience in even a statewide election. 
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Umengus
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2012, 02:15:13 PM »
« Edited: August 15, 2012, 02:19:52 PM by Umengus »
party id:

D 42 R 36 I 21

so D +6...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2012, 02:16:09 PM »

D+6 you mean ?
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Umengus
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« Reply #5 on: August 15, 2012, 02:19:35 PM »

yes D +6... fixed
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: August 15, 2012, 02:21:17 PM »

Which is not unlikely for a registered voter poll.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #7 on: August 15, 2012, 02:24:09 PM »
That's about right.
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Umengus
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2012, 01:46:15 PM »

yes but a little stupid because we know that it will not be a D+6 the day of the vote... PPP national poll is better on this...
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mondale84
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2012, 02:09:17 PM »
Quote from: Umengus on August 16, 2012, 01:46:15 PM

yes but a little stupid because we know that it will not be a D+6 the day of the vote... PPP national poll is better on this...

Who is "we"? And how do you "know"?
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Umengus
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2012, 02:23:24 PM »
Quote from: mondale84 on August 16, 2012, 02:09:17 PM
Quote from: Umengus on August 16, 2012, 01:46:15 PM

yes but a little stupid because we know that it will not be a D+6 the day of the vote... PPP national poll is better on this...

Who is "we"? And how do you "know"?

I'm not surpised by your reaction... all good indicators (elections, polls,...) say the same: democrats will be less energized than 2008 and republican very much more. A tie is quite possible for now. Like in 2004.
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mondale84
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2012, 02:24:45 PM »
Quote from: Umengus on August 16, 2012, 02:23:24 PM
Quote from: mondale84 on August 16, 2012, 02:09:17 PM
Quote from: Umengus on August 16, 2012, 01:46:15 PM

yes but a little stupid because we know that it will not be a D+6 the day of the vote... PPP national poll is better on this...

Who is "we"? And how do you "know"?

I'm not surpised by your reaction... all good indicators (elections, polls,...) say the same: democrats will be less energized than 2008 and republican very much more. A tie is quite possible for now. Like in 2004.

Except Romney just handed to Dems the best person to motivate their base: Paul Rand Ryan
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2012, 02:39:29 PM »
I haven't see anything to suggest that Ryan is providing more than the expected bounce from announcing a running mate.  Only time will tell if he proves to be a good choice or a bad one.
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