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Author Topic: Post random Presidential polls for Congressional Districts here  (Read 3631 times)
Lief
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« Reply #25 on: September 27, 2012, 11:21:28 pm »
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Someone needs to hurry up and poll Alaska, Wyoming and Delaware.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #26 on: September 28, 2012, 06:27:38 am »
NJ-02 (Stockton):

57-35 Obama

http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD2-2012sept.pdf

How did this district vote in 2008 ?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #27 on: September 28, 2012, 12:06:37 pm »
WA-06 (SurveyUSA):

54-38 Obama

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=01c49a8d-45f2-4fe7-9222-379cd55db6e4
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #28 on: September 28, 2012, 12:48:27 pm »
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Quote from: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 06:27:38 am
NJ-02 (Stockton):

57-35 Obama

http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD2-2012sept.pdf

How did this district vote in 2008 ?

It was only about +8% Obama in 2008:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Av8O-dN2giY6dGtYTV8xS2hHcXJnX0pOZkdCU2V1N2c#gid=0
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #29 on: September 28, 2012, 12:52:57 pm »
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In progress:
« Last Edit: October 18, 2012, 09:43:51 pm by Fuzzybigfoot »Logged
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #30 on: September 28, 2012, 12:59:26 pm »
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So far, the polls show Romney picking up MI-1 and NY-18, while Obama flips NY-11 and FL-26.  Two Obama districts are tied (NY-1 and NE-2).
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #31 on: September 28, 2012, 01:13:15 pm »
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Quote from: Fuzzybigfoot on September 28, 2012, 12:48:27 pm
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 06:27:38 am
NJ-02 (Stockton):

57-35 Obama

http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD2-2012sept.pdf

How did this district vote in 2008 ?

It was only about +8% Obama in 2008:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Av8O-dN2giY6dGtYTV8xS2hHcXJnX0pOZkdCU2V1N2c#gid=0

This is the sort of district that Dems really need to flip if they ever want to take back the House.  Unfortunately, LoBiondo is very personally popular, and with good reason: he's basically the single most moderate Republican left in the House.  (According to DW-NOMINATE, there is exactly one Republican who is considered more "liberal"- NJ-4's Chris Smith, who is somewhat moderate on economic issues but is also rabidly pro-life.)
« Last Edit: September 28, 2012, 01:17:01 pm by traininthedistance »Logged
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #32 on: September 30, 2012, 09:21:03 am »
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Quote from: Lief on September 27, 2012, 11:21:28 pm
Someone needs to hurry up and poll Alaska, Wyoming and Delaware.

I really want to see Alaska. I feel like we had several polls from there by now in 2008 (maybe I'm wrong though).
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #33 on: September 30, 2012, 09:29:47 am »
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This poll was released couple of weeks ago. I don't see it on your map, so I'll post it.

Siena (NY-21):

Obama 45 / Romney 40

Same poll shows Owens beating Doheny 49-36
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Gass3268
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« Reply #34 on: October 01, 2012, 01:04:20 pm »
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Kimball Political Consulting (FL-18):

Obama 52 / Romney 45

http://www.scribd.com/doc/108493145/FL-18-Kimball-Political-Consulting-R-Sept-2012

McLaughlin and Associates (GA-12)

Romney 53 / Obama 40

http://www.scribd.com/doc/108584702/GA-12-McLaughlin-Associates-for-Lee-Anderson-Aug-2012

FM 3 (WI-07):

Obama 52 / Romney 41

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/01/1138244/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-10-1-morning-edition?detail=hide
« Last Edit: October 01, 2012, 02:10:08 pm by Gass3268 »Logged
afleitch
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« Reply #35 on: October 01, 2012, 01:28:33 pm »
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The Florida result is good; showing a slight movement towards to Obama.
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #36 on: October 01, 2012, 03:17:17 pm »
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Thanks Gass, the map has been updated.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #37 on: October 01, 2012, 10:51:01 pm »
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Some more numbers:

Grove Insight (AZ-02):

Obama up by 7% (no exact numbers given)

http://b.3cdn.net/dccc/4084cbce86dd86d13b_d0m6ii4na.pdf

Stockton Polling (NJ-02)

Obama 57 / Romney 35

http://www.shorenewstoday.com/snt/news/index.php/galloway-twp/galloway-twp-general-news/30175-stockton-poll-has-lobiondo-with-big-lead.html

NRCC (NC-08)

Romney 59 / Obama 38

http://www.nrcc.org/2012/10/01/nrcc-memo-poll-shows-kissells-campaign-sinking-fast/
« Last Edit: October 01, 2012, 10:52:49 pm by Gass3268 »Logged
Fuzzy
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« Reply #38 on: October 02, 2012, 03:09:47 am »
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So let's see, Obama gains 8 in AZ-2 (flip), and 14 in NJ-2.  Romney gains 6 in NC-8.

The map has been updated.
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #39 on: October 02, 2012, 03:11:11 am »
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Btw, I decided to put AZ-2 at 40% Dem to be safe.  Tongue
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MilesC56
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« Reply #40 on: October 02, 2012, 03:13:49 am »
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The last poll from NC-07 was 61-32 Romney.

The PA-12 poll out a few days ago was 51-46 Romney.
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #41 on: October 02, 2012, 05:27:51 am »
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on September 30, 2012, 09:29:47 am
This poll was released couple of weeks ago. I don't see it on your map, so I'll post it.

Siena (NY-21):

Obama 45 / Romney 40

Same poll shows Owens beating Doheny 49-36

lol sorry, I don't know how I missed that.  Thank you.  Smiley
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #42 on: October 02, 2012, 05:49:07 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on October 02, 2012, 03:13:49 am
The last poll from NC-07 was 61-32 Romney.

The PA-12 poll out a few days ago was 51-46 Romney.

Cool, updating the map now. 
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Fuzzy
Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #43 on: October 02, 2012, 05:57:04 am »
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Obama up 3 in MA-6 (48%-45%):

http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/09/young-guns-poll-tisei-leads-tierney-136922.html


And Obama's up 13 in IL-17 (54%-41%):

http://www.scribd.com/doc/107620193/IL-17-GBA-Strategies-for-Cheri-Bustos-Sept-2012
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #44 on: October 02, 2012, 06:01:57 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on October 02, 2012, 03:13:49 am
The last poll from NC-07 was 61-32 Romney.

The PA-12 poll out a few days ago was 51-46 Romney.

Awesome, thanks.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #45 on: October 02, 2012, 04:35:14 pm »
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WI-08

Romney- 47%
Obama- 46%

NY-20

Obama- 53%
Romney- 33%
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MilesC56
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« Reply #46 on: October 02, 2012, 07:12:49 pm »
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This poll is a bit dusty, from July, but its still seems realistic. Romney was up 53-45 in KY-06.
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Fuzzy
Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #47 on: October 03, 2012, 03:58:31 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on October 02, 2012, 07:12:49 pm
This poll is a bit dusty, from July, but its still seems realistic. Romney was up 53-45 in KY-06.

Thanks, the map has been updated.
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Fuzzy
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« Reply #48 on: October 03, 2012, 03:59:30 am »
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I wish we could get some polls from Ohio.  
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MilesC56
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« Reply #49 on: October 04, 2012, 12:54:30 am »
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As usual, I have a few more polls Smiley

NV-03

Obama- 47%
Romney- 46%

MI-01

Obama- 48%
Romney- 48%

FL-10

Romney- 47%
Obama- 47%

NH-01

Romney- 47%
Obama- 46%

CA-10

Obama- 47%
Romney- 46%
« Last Edit: October 04, 2012, 03:33:01 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

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