IN: Dem poll shows close race, GOP poll shows close race

[Tender Branson]

Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D):

Joe Donnelly 45
Richard Mourdock 43
Undecided 12

Congressman Donnelly’s lead is more impressive given that he still lags behind Mourdock in statewide name recognition (58% recognize Donnelly, 74% recognize Mourdock), and in fact, Donnelly leads 49% to 44% among Hoosiers who know BOTH candidates.

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/103041317-Me-10672-Release-Copy.pdf

Market Research Insight (R):

Total Richard Mourdock (R) 41%
Total Joe Donnelly (D) 39
Total Andrew Horning (L) 3

http://www.indianachamber.com/pollingreport/IndianaStatewideVoterSurveyEXECSUMAug2012.pdf

[Jayhawker]

This is pathetic.

Indiana has swung heavily to the right since 2008 - a former Washington lobbyist who declared his home was NC easily defeated a Blue Dog, well-liked Democrat just two years ago. This seat should have been a cakewalk for us, and it's not.

[memphis]

This is pathetic.

Indiana has swung heavily to the right since 2008 - a former Washington lobbyist who declared his home was NC easily defeated a Blue Dog, well-liked Democrat just two years ago. This seat should have been a cakewalk for us, and it's not.

That's what happens when you teabag.

[Keystone Phil]

Again, a Dem internal. Mourdock is ahead. Maybe not by a lot but he's ahead and it won't be close in November. Spare us the hand wringing.

[Governor Scott]

Averaged out:

Donnelly: 42
Mourdock: 42

[Jayhawker]

Again, a Dem internal. Mourdock is ahead. Maybe not by a lot but he's ahead and it won't be close in November. Spare us the hand wringing.

Did you not see the GOP internal that only had Mourdock up by 2?

[mondale84]

Again, a Dem internal. Mourdock is ahead. Maybe not by a lot but he's ahead and it won't be close in November. Spare us the hand wringing.

Stop trolling. Even the Republican internals show a close race.

[Keystone Phil]

Again, a Dem internal. Mourdock is ahead. Maybe not by a lot but he's ahead and it won't be close in November. Spare us the hand wringing.

Stop trolling. Even the Republican internals show a close race.

Mourdock being ahead doesn't mean it isn't close. I'm saying it won't be close in November.

And I hope my laughter at your ironic "Stop trolling" line wasn't too distracting.

[Comrade Funk]

Maybe the Libertarians might prove to be the Ralph Nader of this election.

[Senator Napoleon]

Averaged out:

Donnelly: 42
Mourdock: 42

That's the result all the other polls have given us, right?

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Too bad the Democrat is a right-winger.

[JulioMadrid]

Too bad the Democrat is a right-winger.

If he wasn't, Mourdock would lead by 10, I suppose.

[Talleyrand]

Too bad the Democrat is a right-winger.

If he wasn't, Mourdock would lead by 10, I suppose.

While I think these polls probably show the state of the race ATM, I do think the race will break decisively in favor of Mourdock later on, like Keystone Phil.

However, there was no reason for a situation like this to happen for the GOP. Lugar would have been thrashing Donnelly at this point. I still can't believe so many Republicans in this state decided to get rid of the most senior and most respected Republican in the Senate for some State Treasurer with a previously poor electoral record. They just blew thirty-six years of power and experience out the door for a sixty-one year old (likely weak) freshman.

[Governor Scott]

Averaged out:

Donnelly: 42
Mourdock: 42

That's the result all the other polls have given us, right?

Pretty much, and I think that's where the race will be until the election.

[MilesC56]

I think Mourdock is favored now, but only by 1 or 2 points. A more liberal Democrat would certainly be doing worse though.

Lugar would have been up by 20-25....

[Gravis Marketing]

Again, a Dem internal. Mourdock is ahead. Maybe not by a lot but he's ahead and it won't be close in November. Spare us the hand wringing.

Stop trolling. Even the Republican internals show a close race.

Mourdock being ahead doesn't mean it isn't close. I'm saying it won't be close in November.

Sounds like a mirror image of the presidential situation in WI.

[Former Moderate]

GHY always had good things to say about Jill Long Thompson, too.