Who will win Berks County, PA?
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  Who will win Berks County, PA?
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Question: Who will win Berks County, PA?
#1
Barack Obama
 
#2
Mitt Romney
 
#3
Gary Johson (Troll Option)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Who will win Berks County, PA?  (Read 395 times)
All Along The Watchtower
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« on: August 16, 2012, 11:00:54 PM »

Voted 52-46 for Bush in 2004, voted 53-44 for Obama in 2008.

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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2012, 06:20:22 PM »

Narrowly Obama. Romney probably picks up Dauphin.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2012, 06:41:37 PM »

Barack Obama, but it will be very close.
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morgieb
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2012, 07:00:34 PM »

What is Berks County anyway?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2012, 07:07:48 PM »


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berks_County,_Pennsylvania

Lots of rural Mennonite/Amish farms that are canceled out by Reading.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2012, 07:11:33 PM »

I say Romney will. Lower Hispanic turnout and white voters swinging back to the GOP makes a 50-48 Romney win in Berks a strong possibility.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2012, 07:13:53 PM »

Based on my experience in Lancaster volunteering (Lancaster is a lot like Reading), I'd say that turnout will be lower, but not nearly as low as many have suggested. Puerto Ricans in Reading will still come out for Obama. Assuming a 5-6% Obama win in PA, he takes Berks. However, Eastern PA in general will probably trend Republican.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2012, 07:16:16 PM »

Based on my experience in Lancaster volunteering (Lancaster is a lot like Reading), I'd say that turnout will be lower, but not nearly as low as many have suggested. Puerto Ricans in Reading will still come out for Obama. Assuming a 5-6% Obama win in PA, he takes Berks. However, Eastern PA in general will probably trend Republican.
Obama is the only Democrat to win Berks in recent memory. He could win, but I expect Romney to take it narrowly. Though on the other hand I expect Obama to win PA by about 4.7%.
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20RP12
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2012, 07:42:29 PM »

I think whoever wins it, will win it only by a point or two at best.
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