MO: Akin could really blow this

[J. J.]

The scary thing is, Akin may still win this.

I'd put his chances at about 35%. A clear chance, but he's still an underdog atm.

He's still the underdog, but his gaffs have not been fatal.  He's closing. 

[J. J.]

The scary thing is, Akin may still win this.

I'd put his chances at about 35%. A clear chance, but he's still an underdog atm.

He's still the underdog, but his gaffs have not been fatal.  He's closing. 

Where's the evidence of that?

The polls that we're listing under the polling section. 

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?fips=29&class=1

We're now listing it as a tossup (though I'd question the R+1)

J. J's Fourth Rule of Elections:  Read the current polling before commenting on it.

[J. J.]

J. J's Fourth Rule of Elections:  Read the current polling before commenting on it.

Px's firtst rule of elections: follow your own goddamn rules if you want any of us to take you seriously.

Let me see if I can explain this to you Lyndon.

Late August, Rasmussen had Akin down by 10.  In September, Rasmussen had him down by 6.  That means that Akin is "closing."  See how that works?


All of that (including a Chilenski poll, that I don't really trust) is posted on the polling section that I previously linked.   If you click the link, you can read it for yourself.  You have have to move that little arrow over the link and click.

If you do that, you will notice that MO is now gray.  That is the color of a toss up; that means MO is closer (even though that is partly based on a poll I don't really trust).  I didn't change the color; I didn't take the poll. 

I was, in fact, rather surprised it was closing (and I don't trust that one poll).  Still, I looked at it, since when I first looked at the map, it lighter than the other states a few day ago.  I was very much surprised when someone questioned that the race was closing when the data said it was closing.

[J. J.]

     This may be the worst campaign gaffe since George Allen in 2006.

I thought his biological ovary defense system comment was far worse than the Macaca comment. 

I do not understand why the polls are closing.