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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Obama leads by three  (Read 710 times)
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« on: August 22, 2012, 12:26:27 pm »
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https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/238325520708796416

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New Marquette Law School Poll shows presidential race is tightening – Obama 49, Romney 46%. #mulawpoll
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2012, 12:39:32 pm »
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Kinda debunks that PPP fap-a-thon from yesterday.
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polijunkie3057
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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2012, 12:41:27 pm »
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The race was 50-45% in their last poll taken Aug 5-8. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wi/wisconsin_romney_vs_obama-1871.html
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
Supersonic
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« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2012, 12:43:48 pm »
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I'll wait to see the actual poll.
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2012, 12:46:45 pm »
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Still some work to do but encouraging nonetheless. Hopefully the movement continues once GE $$$ is unlocked.
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7.35, 3.65

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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2012, 12:49:45 pm »
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Race is tightening....but still expect Obama to win by 5-6.
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Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« Reply #6 on: August 22, 2012, 12:50:13 pm »
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You can see the data on live stream.
http://law-media.marquette.edu/Mediasite/Play/77e6e443d1c646179626dfc00bd5420a1d
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« Reply #7 on: August 22, 2012, 01:04:37 pm »
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Funny story I actually had Charles Franklin, the guy talking on the right there in the live feed, as a professor at UW-Madison a couple years ago before he went to Marquette to do polling. I guess UW wouldn't give him all the information that he wanted in order to do polling so he switched schools. He wasn't the best professor in the world but the results of these polls have been good.
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polijunkie3057
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« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2012, 01:45:57 pm »
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Party ID for this poll is 28% Democrat, 26% Republican, and 42%(!) Independent .
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
Niemeyerite
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2012, 05:06:31 pm »
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Far superior Marquette Smiley
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
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« Reply #10 on: August 22, 2012, 07:24:31 pm »
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Absolutely no doubt that Romney got a big boost in WI by picking a hometown guy for VP.  So take whatever bump a challenger usually gets when they select their running mate and add on a few points. 

Effectively, the race is tied at the height of the Ryan bounce.  I'm somewhat pleased as a Democrat, but a few other polls out have shown an across the board cooling for Obama.  He needs to start getting his face out there to make sure the bounce isn't permanent, because this whole thing seems to be about Romney/Ryan right now and that's not going to be a winning formula. 
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #11 on: August 22, 2012, 07:26:27 pm »
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He needs to start getting his face out there to make sure the bounce isn't permanent, because this whole thing seems to be about Romney/Ryan right now and that's not going to be a winning formula. 

I think it's more about Todd Akin than anything.
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« Reply #12 on: August 22, 2012, 07:35:03 pm »
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He needs to start getting his face out there to make sure the bounce isn't permanent, because this whole thing seems to be about Romney/Ryan right now and that's not going to be a winning formula. 

I think it's more about Todd Akin than anything.

Why would you think something that is very clearly not true?

Kinda debunks that PPP fap-a-thon from yesterday.

One poll does not debunk another. Especially considering this poll shows a bigger Republican lead in the Senate race than PPP, and considering PPP usually tilts a little Democratic. A Republican lead makes sense in Wisconsin, considering the popular Republican Governor there. What you need to debunk is another respectable poll confirming Marquette's findings.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #13 on: August 22, 2012, 07:37:51 pm »
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He needs to start getting his face out there to make sure the bounce isn't permanent, because this whole thing seems to be about Romney/Ryan right now and that's not going to be a winning formula. 

I think it's more about Todd Akin than anything.

Oh c'mon.  How many people do you really think switched from Romney to Obama over something TODD AKIN said.  What is your reasoning for this assertion?
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #14 on: August 22, 2012, 09:06:50 pm »
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He needs to start getting his face out there to make sure the bounce isn't permanent, because this whole thing seems to be about Romney/Ryan right now and that's not going to be a winning formula. 

I think it's more about Todd Akin than anything.

Oh c'mon.  How many people do you really think switched from Romney to Obama over something TODD AKIN said.  What is your reasoning for this assertion?

You won't get an explanation. It's Bandit.
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
Dave Leip
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2012, 12:42:08 pm »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marquette Law School on 2012-09-13

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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