August 2012 Election Tracker
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Author Topic: August 2012 Election Tracker  (Read 7235 times)
Napoleon
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« Reply #100 on: August 26, 2012, 05:05:55 PM »

Franzl has been doing the work of the Mideast Court lately. It isn't very demanding.
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Torie
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« Reply #101 on: August 26, 2012, 05:09:55 PM »

What I don't get is how Franzl, after months of not being seen in Atlasia at all, just waltzes in here a week before an election, announces his candidacy, then does absolutely nothing to campaign, and ends up at the least very close to winning.  You people are pathetic- why are you giving your votes to someone who has done nothing to win them?  Don't get me wrong, Franzl's a great guy- but it takes more than that alone to get my vote.

Franzl is well liked around the Atlas, ideologically appealing to the center, and acceptable to the center right, and my pal sbane asked me to vote for him, and I don't know who is working and who is not in Atlasia, so that is my reason he got a first choice from me. Having the right folks PM you as a somewhat disengaged voter harvests votes. Who knew?
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Bacon King
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« Reply #102 on: August 26, 2012, 05:25:36 PM »


^^^^

I'll wait and redo the count when I find out all seven names. Smiley Besides the obvious inaccuracies that come from counting what shouldn't be counted, those invalid votes also reduce the quota.
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Torie
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« Reply #103 on: August 26, 2012, 05:43:30 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 05:47:33 PM by Torie »

Regarding Townsend, Clarence or Seatown taking the 5th slot, we have:

1. If Townsend is elected, we have 2 on the left, 6 in the center (assuming Ben is centrist), and 2 on the right.

2. If Seatown is elected, we have 3 on the left, 5 in the center, and 2 on the right.

3. If Clarence is elected, we have 2 on the left, 5 in the center, and 3 on the right.

What combo would make the more interesting game?  I suppose part of the answer turns on just how cohesive these blocks are. It would seem to me the most interesting game is the center swinging a bit left or right to pick up the extra needed votes, inducing both the left and the right to try to horse trade or otherwise induce them to swing their way a bit on a given issue. If the center does not need to wheel and deal, the left and right might as well stay home, unless the centrist Senators are fractious.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #104 on: August 26, 2012, 05:44:48 PM »

Same thing from me, Marokai Blue and Bacon King seems quite safe, but it's very tight between Clarence, Franlz, NVTownsend and Hagrid. Too tight to be worthwhile to count before knowing all the invalids.
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Torie
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« Reply #105 on: August 26, 2012, 05:50:49 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 05:52:52 PM by Torie »

Same thing from me, Marokai Blue and Bacon King seems quite safe, but it's very tight between Clarence, Franlz, NVTownsend and Hagrid. Too tight to be worthwhile to count before knowing all the invalids.

Most  of BK extra votes will go to Franzl, and either Clarence or more probably Hagrid will be elected. So the election seems to me to probably be between Clarence (with a slight possibility of Hagrid fighting for the 5th slot), Seatown and Townsend.

Of course, tactical voting from here on out could upset the apple cart.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #106 on: August 26, 2012, 06:17:48 PM »

I may have to remove Hagrid from my ignore list? Angry
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #107 on: August 26, 2012, 06:19:39 PM »

I've actually become less of a hack, I promise!
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #108 on: August 26, 2012, 06:22:34 PM »

Awaiting the results with bated breath

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Donerail
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« Reply #109 on: August 26, 2012, 06:48:11 PM »

I've actually become less of a hack, I promise!

Hagrid has become significantly less hackish (I attribute it to less posting on the 2012 board).
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MaxQue
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« Reply #110 on: August 26, 2012, 07:23:48 PM »

Same thing from me, Marokai Blue and Bacon King seems quite safe, but it's very tight between Clarence, Franlz, NVTownsend and Hagrid. Too tight to be worthwhile to count before knowing all the invalids.

Most  of BK extra votes will go to Franzl, and either Clarence or more probably Hagrid will be elected. So the election seems to me to probably be between Clarence (with a slight possibility of Hagrid fighting for the 5th slot), Seatown and Townsend.

Of course, tactical voting from here on out could upset the apple cart.

In my count, BK only have 1 extra vote and Seatown is already eliminated at that point.
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Torie
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« Reply #111 on: August 26, 2012, 07:36:36 PM »

Same thing from me, Marokai Blue and Bacon King seems quite safe, but it's very tight between Clarence, Franlz, NVTownsend and Hagrid. Too tight to be worthwhile to count before knowing all the invalids.

Most  of BK extra votes will go to Franzl, and either Clarence or more probably Hagrid will be elected. So the election seems to me to probably be between Clarence (with a slight possibility of Hagrid fighting for the 5th slot), Seatown and Townsend.

Of course, tactical voting from here on out could upset the apple cart.

In my count, BK only have 1 extra vote and Seatown is already eliminated at that point.

Well if that count is right currently, then at the moment Franzl is out along with Seatown. Not too bad a result actually, with a  2-5-3 ideological balance. But something tells me that it won't hold. Smiley
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Svensson
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« Reply #112 on: August 26, 2012, 07:47:56 PM »

So on a scale of 1-10, how screwed/elected am I? Cheesy
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Donerail
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« Reply #113 on: August 26, 2012, 07:50:48 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 08:39:02 PM by IDS Legislator SJoyceFla »

So on a scale of 1-10, how screwed/elected am I? Cheesy

Pretty dang elected.

EDIT: Nevermind. I was using pretty old data that showed you as 2nd.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #114 on: August 26, 2012, 08:34:40 PM »

So on a scale of 1-10, how screwed/elected am I? Cheesy

3. You have to hope than one of your opponents has an invalid vote.

With 3 unknown invalid and a quota of 17, I have, Marokai 18, Bacon King 19, Clarence 15, Hagrid 15, Franzl 15, you 14 and extausted 4.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #115 on: August 26, 2012, 08:34:53 PM »

So can someone tell me who the top six or seven finishers are on the final count at present?
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #116 on: August 26, 2012, 08:50:19 PM »

I've actually become less of a hack, I promise!

Hagrid has become significantly less hackish (I attribute it to less posting on the 2012 board).

     Not posting on the 2012 board is always a good decision.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #117 on: August 26, 2012, 08:59:31 PM »

Yeah, it definitely took me too long to realize that there's really nothing of value up there. It's a good way to keep up-to-date, but there's not much more anyone can add to those threads that wouldn't just be superfluous garbage.

Mondale84 taught me that.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #118 on: August 26, 2012, 09:01:20 PM »

I've actually become less of a hack, I promise!

Hagrid has become significantly less hackish (I attribute it to less posting on the 2012 board).

     Not posting on the 2012 board is always a good decision.

But you have to admit, it's a good outlet for such things and a great way to compartmentalize. It helps me not bring my bad behavior here. Wink
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #119 on: August 26, 2012, 09:04:17 PM »

I've actually become less of a hack, I promise!

Hagrid has become significantly less hackish (I attribute it to less posting on the 2012 board).

     Not posting on the 2012 board is always a good decision.

But you have to admit, it's a good outlet for such things and a great way to compartmentalize. It helps me not bring my bad behavior here. Wink

I read the stuff on the board, but I don't post on it nearly as much as I used to.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #120 on: August 26, 2012, 09:16:41 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 09:25:06 PM by Chemistry & Sleep Deprivation »


The 4 I said, plus one Marokai, one Franzl and one Bacon voter.

EDIT: I found 2 using the census. Cincinnatus (the Marokai voter) and px75 (the Bacon King voter). Still searching the Franzl one.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #121 on: August 26, 2012, 10:13:38 PM »


The 4 I said, plus one Marokai, one Franzl and one Bacon voter.

EDIT: I found 2 using the census. Cincinnatus (the Marokai voter) and px75 (the Bacon King voter). Still searching the Franzl one.

Thanks for the help! The Franzl voter is Reginald. Now, I'll make one last tracker post for any last minute voters out there Tongue
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #122 on: August 26, 2012, 10:26:26 PM »

I just hope my connection doesn't mess up in the last 30 minutes. Tongue
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Napoleon
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« Reply #123 on: August 26, 2012, 10:27:27 PM »

Cincinnatus is JBach. Fritz is invalid. Sad
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Bacon King
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« Reply #124 on: August 26, 2012, 10:38:11 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 10:42:43 PM by Bacon King »

Invalid Votes: 7
Total Valid Votes: 99
Quota: 17
Last Voter: Rogue Beaver

Marokai Blue: 13
Franzl: 13
Hagrid: 13
Clarence: 12
Bacon King: 11
NVTownsend: 11
Seatown: 6
SJoyceFla: 6
Snowstalker: 5
Xahar: 5
Hashemite: 3
Andrew: 1

Andrew's vote eliminated; it flows to Clarence.



Marokai Blue: 13
Franzl: 13
Hagrid: 13
Clarence: 13
Bacon King: 11
NVTownsend: 11
Seatown: 6
SJoyceFla: 6
Snowstalker: 5
Xahar: 5
Hashemite: 3

Hashemite's votes eliminated.



Marokai Blue: 13
Franzl: 13
Hagrid: 13
Clarence: 13
Bacon King: 12
NVTownsend: 11
Seatown: 7
SJoyceFla: 6
Xahar: 6
Snowstalker: 5

Snowstalker's votes eliminated.



Marokai Blue: 15
Franzl: 13
Hagrid: 13
Clarence: 13
Bacon King: 13
NVTownsend: 11
Seatown: 9
SJoyceFla: 6
Xahar: 6

Xahar and SJoyceFla have the same number of first preferences; Xahar is eliminated first because he had fewer first preferences than SJoyce in a prior round.



Marokai Blue: 17 (ELECTED)
Bacon King: 14
Franzl: 13
Hagrid: 13
Clarence: 13
NVTownsend: 11
Seatown: 10
SJoyceFla: 6
(exhausted: 2)

Marokai Blue is elected without overflow. SJoyceFla is eliminated.



Marokai Blue: 17 (ELECTED)
Hagrid: 16
Bacon King: 14
Franzl: 13
Clarence: 13
NVTownsend: 13
Seatown: 11
(exhausted: 2)

Seatown is now eliminated.



Marokai Blue: 17 (ELECTED)
Bacon King: 18 (ELECTED)
Hagrid: 16
Clarence: 16
NVTownsend: 15
Franzl: 13
(exhausted: 4)

Bacon King is elected with an overflow of 1; each vote is redistributed at a value of 1/18.

However, even if every vote were to somehow flow to Franzl it would be insufficient to give him enough support to overtake NVTownsend. Franzl would thus be eliminated on the following count; Hagrid, Clarence, and NVTownsend are elected in some order depending on the way that Franzl's votes flow.
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