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Author Topic: IL-Ipsos: Reports of Obama's demise have been greatly exaggerated  (Read 763 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 29, 2012, 02:12:23 pm »
55-29 Obama

http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20120829/BLOGS02/120829788/obama-widens-home-state-lead-over-romney
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krazen1211
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2012, 02:13:17 pm »
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Paywall, but isn't this an 'adults' poll?
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Umengus
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2012, 02:42:16 pm »
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ipsos is a bad pollster...
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2012, 02:49:15 pm »
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Is this a poll of, adults, registered voters or likely voters?
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J. J.

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GM Griffin
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2012, 03:26:10 pm »
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Quote from: J. J. on August 29, 2012, 02:49:15 pm
Is this a poll of, adults, registered voters or likely voters?

Adults.

Quote
600 voting age Illinois residents were polled by Crains/Ipsos and the results were about what you would expect. President Obama is the top choice with 55%, Romney with 29% and 16% saying they are either undecided or do not plan on voting.

The poll has a margin of error of 4.7% overall and that number is higher in individual sub-groups.

This is not a particularly useful poll since it measured voting age adults, rather than registered voters who are likely to vote. Thus, the numbers themselves are not as important as the margin of Obama's lead. It suggests that Illinois will not be even remotely competitive for Mitt Romney and of course this leads to concerns about Republican candidates for Congress across the state.

http://www.chicagonow.com/windy-city-young-republicans/2012/08/crainsipsos-obama-55-romney-29-in-illinois-an-analysis/
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2012, 04:53:14 pm »
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Beyond laughable
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PittsburghSean
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« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2012, 12:17:01 am »
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Illinois was NEVER going to be a tossup state. This is laughable that anyone thought it would be.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2012, 09:20:29 am »
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I just love how all the liberals around here get so upset when blue avatars include needless, partisan jabbing in their poll thread titles. I'm just glad to see it goes both ways.
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« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2012, 09:44:21 am »
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were there such reports?  I hadn't noticed.
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« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2012, 09:49:22 am »
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  We get at least one of those goofy polls (last one saying the state is competitive) every Presidential election in Illinois.  Poll comes out, says that the state is now competitive.  GOP gets all excited.  Next poll shows them losing handily again.  Almost like clockwork.

Ill_ind
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Holmes
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« Reply #10 on: August 30, 2012, 10:04:53 am »
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This is a poll of adults, so Illinois is still very much in play.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2012, 09:12:35 pm »
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Quote from: Holmes on August 30, 2012, 10:04:53 am
This is a poll of adults, so Illinois is still very much in play.

Just like Texas Smiley
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J. J.
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« Reply #12 on: September 01, 2012, 12:25:18 am »
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If its of all adults, it is probably closer, but still with reasonable Obama lead. 

I cannot imagine an election night where Obama loses IL.
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J. J.

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« Reply #13 on: September 01, 2012, 12:50:51 am »
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Quote from: J. J. on September 01, 2012, 12:25:18 am
If its of all adults, it is probably closer, but still with reasonable Obama lead. 

I cannot imagine an election night where Obama loses IL.

NO!!! Really...?
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« Reply #14 on: September 01, 2012, 01:14:38 am »
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If Obama lost IL, then Romney automatically wins.
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« Reply #15 on: September 01, 2012, 07:37:35 am »
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Quote from: RockyIce on September 01, 2012, 01:14:38 am
If Obama lost IL, then Romney automatically wins.

Gore almost won, after losing his home state.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #16 on: September 01, 2012, 09:30:10 am »
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Quote from: J. J. on September 01, 2012, 07:37:35 am
Quote from: RockyIce on September 01, 2012, 01:14:38 am
If Obama lost IL, then Romney automatically wins.

Gore almost won, after losing his home state.
He also wasn't from Illinois.
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