Quinnipiac Poll of NJ Likely Voters: Obama 51%, Romney 44%

[MorningInAmerica]

Taken August 27-September 2nd
1,471 Likely Voters
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1793

Obama: 51% (+2)
Romney: 44% (+6)

July Q-poll result:
Obama: 49%
Romney: 38%

FTR, Obama won New Jersey in 2008 57-42%.

[krazen1211]

Yep, that's the bump. It is reflective of the Romney strategy to acquire the votes of whites.

[J. J.]

It could be a bad sample, or it be a sign of closing.  NJ is probably less likely than PA to go for Mittens.

[Brittain33]

Time to review how NJ polls for Republican presidential candidates compared to how it votes in every campaign. 

[J. J.]

Time to review how NJ polls for Republican presidential candidates compared to how it votes in every campaign. 

Quinnipiac is fairly good in NJ.  We've had other uni/newspaper polls that were not.

[krazen1211]

Time to review how NJ polls for Republican presidential candidates compared to how it votes in every campaign. 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_obama-250.html

Just fine.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I mean, if the election is close you can't expect Obama to win NJ by 18 points. Kerry won it by 4-5 points in 2004, so I imagine Mittens will lose it by 6-8.

[Supersonic]

Good results for Romney.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Toss up!!! Republicans must immediately pour resources to New Jersey.
Democrats are already on the run and shaking with fear. I'm sure if Team Romney throws in 20 mil they can win it.

[後援会]

I mean, if the election is close you can't expect Obama to win NJ by 18 points. Kerry won it by 4-5 points in 2004, so I imagine Mittens will lose it by 6-8.

Basically. But it may suggest an overall nationwide tie. Or a very slim Obama lead if New Jersey moves Republican harder than the rest of the country, which is probably true.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

You guys gonna be dreamin' New Jersey again?  

Romney's a wonderful fit for NJ Republicans, but it's not going to be close. 

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

You guys gonna be dreamin' New Jersey again? 

Romney's a wonderful fit for NJ Republicans, but it's not going to be close. 

I don't think anyone reasonable is going to expect Jersey to flip unless the economy collapses and Obama loses by 6-8% nationwide.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

You guys gonna be dreamin' New Jersey again? 

Romney's a wonderful fit for NJ Republicans, but it's not going to be close. 

I don't think anyone reasonable is going to expect Jersey to flip unless the economy collapses and Obama loses by 6-8% nationwide.

Every year there's always a few...

[MorningInAmerica]

You guys gonna be dreamin' New Jersey again? 

Romney's a wonderful fit for NJ Republicans, but it's not going to be close. 

I don't think anyone reasonable is going to expect Jersey to flip unless the economy collapses and Obama loses by 6-8% nationwide.

Exactly. George W. Bush lost NJ by nearly 7 points in a year that he won nationally by nearly 3pts. It would have to be a near landslide for Romney, which polling to date hasn't indicated.

[Tender Branson]

This was taken during the GOP convention.

Polls should be taken seriously again only after the next week is over.