YouGov/Economist Poll of Registered Voteres: Obama: 47% Romney: 46%
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  YouGov/Economist Poll of Registered Voteres: Obama: 47% Romney: 46%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: YouGov/Economist Poll of Registered Voteres: Obama: 47% Romney: 46%  (Read 655 times)
MorningInAmerica
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« on: September 06, 2012, 10:00:33 AM »
« edited: September 06, 2012, 10:08:12 AM by MorningInAmerica »
YouGov/The Economist
9/1/12-9/3/12: 1,000 adults, 4.2% margin of error
737 registered voters
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/sf25hwi1y4/20120901econToplines.pdf

Obama - 47% (+1)
Romney - 46% (-1)

Last wk Romney led 47-46%, so YouGov joins Gallup in not seeing any sort of a bounce from the RNC.

Worth noting that Obama is leading by just one point with a partisan sample of D+12 (49D, 37R, 15I).

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 48 / 45
Mitt Romney: 40 / 49
Paul Ryan: 40 / 45
Joe Biden: 41 / 44

Obama Job Approval
43% approve, 48% disapprove
Economy: 36/50
Health care: 41/46
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Supersonic
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2012, 11:40:08 AM »
An almost 50% Democratic sample?

What the...
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後援会
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM »
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM »
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.
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mondale84
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2012, 05:06:44 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.

Which means Dems are ahead 4-5.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2012, 10:50:53 PM »
Why does it seem like almost all of the random small pollsters are much more Republican than the larger firms this cycle?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2012, 11:15:10 PM »
Quote from: Lame Duck Senator TJ on September 06, 2012, 10:50:53 PM
Why does it seem like almost all of the random small pollsters are much more Republican than the larger firms this cycle?

Well, YouGov is a big UK pollster.
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後援会
koenkai
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2012, 11:17:39 PM »
Quote from: Chemistry & Sleep Deprivation on September 06, 2012, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: Lame Duck Senator TJ on September 06, 2012, 10:50:53 PM
Why does it seem like almost all of the random small pollsters are much more Republican than the larger firms this cycle?

Well, YouGov is a big UK pollster.

Yeah. IIRC, aren't they huge when it comes to the UK parliamentary races? Like the stiff-lipped Gallup.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2012, 11:25:23 PM »
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:17:39 PM
Quote from: Chemistry & Sleep Deprivation on September 06, 2012, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: Lame Duck Senator TJ on September 06, 2012, 10:50:53 PM
Why does it seem like almost all of the random small pollsters are much more Republican than the larger firms this cycle?

Well, YouGov is a big UK pollster.

Yeah. IIRC, aren't they huge when it comes to the UK parliamentary races? Like the stiff-lipped Gallup.

They are one of the big UK political pollsters, with ICM and ComRes, if I remember well.
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J. J.
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2012, 12:22:37 AM »
Quote from: mondale84 on September 06, 2012, 05:06:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.

Which means Dems are ahead 4-5.

Actually, they were a good predictor in 2010.  The way that the districts have been redrawn, there is probably a 4-10 seat pickup for the GOP if everything is even.
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後援会
koenkai
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« Reply #10 on: September 07, 2012, 01:31:43 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 07, 2012, 12:22:37 AM
Quote from: mondale84 on September 06, 2012, 05:06:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.

Which means Dems are ahead 4-5.

Actually, they were a good predictor in 2010.  The way that the districts have been redrawn, there is probably a 4-10 seat pickup for the GOP if everything is even.

Minus the 4-10 seats they'll lose in IL/CA/NY...due to the way the districts have been redrawn.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2012, 01:59:30 AM »
Quote from: 後援会 on September 07, 2012, 01:31:43 AM
Quote from: J. J. on September 07, 2012, 12:22:37 AM
Quote from: mondale84 on September 06, 2012, 05:06:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.

Which means Dems are ahead 4-5.

Actually, they were a good predictor in 2010.  The way that the districts have been redrawn, there is probably a 4-10 seat pickup for the GOP if everything is even.

Minus the 4-10 seats they'll lose in IL/CA/NY...due to the way the districts have been redrawn.

Outside of South Brooklyn, the NY map was fairly beneficial to the GOP.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2012, 02:01:28 AM »
There's no way a tied House ballot results in Republicans gaining seats. That's ridiculous.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2012, 10:23:43 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 07, 2012, 12:22:37 AM
Quote from: mondale84 on September 06, 2012, 05:06:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on September 06, 2012, 05:03:55 PM
Quote from: 後援会 on September 06, 2012, 11:44:09 AM
Who the hell uses Registered Voters after labor day?

Also, Democrats are leading Republicans 40-32 on the generic House ballot.

The idea of Romney outperforming House Republicans by 7 points is uh...difficult to accept.

Rasmussen is showing a 42% tie on the generic congressional ballot.

Which means Dems are ahead 4-5.

Actually, they were a good predictor in 2010.  The way that the districts have been redrawn, there is probably a 4-10 seat pickup for the GOP if everything is even.

Umm no.  Experts have calculated that the redistricting was a wash.  In an even situation, Democrats will probably pick up 10 seats. 
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