MN-06: SurveyUSA: Bachmann up 9
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  MN-06: SurveyUSA: Bachmann up 9		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MN-06: SurveyUSA: Bachmann up 9  (Read 735 times)
Miles
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« on: October 15, 2012, 08:58:25 PM »
Story.

Bachmann (R)- 50%
Graves (D)- 41%

Romney- 53%
Obama- 36%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2012, 09:02:04 PM »
Sarkozy will be re-elected.



Oh. Wait. Wrong one...


Yeah, Bachmann is fine.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2012, 09:04:25 PM »
Obama only lost this district by 12% in 2008.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2012, 09:05:05 PM »
Man... I'm not even sure a sex scandal will take her down especially since she raised 4.3 million.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2012, 09:15:25 PM »
This is one of those races where I don't understand how undecided voters exist.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2012, 09:18:00 AM »
I agree with Keystone Phil on this...sort of.  I think it should be noted the SurveyUSA tends to lean Republican when polling MN for some reason though I don't think it is right to suggest they are garbage.  That being said, Phil is right that Bachmann isn't in any danger.  She's a very polarizing figure who will always underperform generic R in the district (I would argue that she even underperformed in 2010 relative to what a generic Republican Congressman from the district would've gotten), but she'll still win.  Our best shot was with Tinklenberg in 2008 and he lost by 3%.  Bachmann is probably safe until the next redistricting in the sense that she won't lose, but she will never be safe in the sense that she won't have to campaign/raise massive amounts of money to win reelection.
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Franzl
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2012, 09:20:11 AM »
Quote from: Marokai Béliqueux on October 15, 2012, 09:15:25 PM
This is one of those races where I don't understand how undecided voters exist.

Or how Bachmann voters exist.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2012, 02:52:52 PM »
What's wrong with these people?!?
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2012, 02:55:10 PM »
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2012, 02:58:02 PM »
Last cycle, Democrats kept saying they could make this competitive, but Bachmann pulled a decent margin; I think that will be case again. Yes, she doesn't quite pass the sanity test, but she has a huge fundraising base and the bend of the district is strongly in her favor.
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SPQR
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2012, 02:58:29 PM »
They must be voting her so that the spotlight remains on their district.
Right?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2012, 03:19:17 PM »
Really, it'd be disgusting if she broke double digits. Double digits as in her actual percentage of the vote, not her margin of victory.
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