Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 01, 2015, 05:39:16 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  2012 House Election Polls (Moderator: Tender Branson)
| | | |-+  FL-various: Republicans lead in 10, 13, 18, 22, 26
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: FL-various: Republicans lead in 10, 13, 18, 22, 26  (Read 912 times)
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6081


View Profile
« on: September 05, 2012, 01:20:36 pm »
Ignore

http://stpetepolls.org/surveys/election_2012_october3_congress_general.html


In the race for Representative in Congress from District 2 do you support Republican Steve Southerland or Democrat Al Lawson?
                                    Responses: 450 ( 4.6% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Steve Southerland:    45.7%   
   Al Lawson:            46.5%   
   Undecided:             7.8%   

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
                                    Responses: 363 ( 5.1% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Todd Long:            42.2%   
   Alan Grayson:         45.0%   
   Undecided:            12.8%   

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 10 do you support Republican Daniel Webster or Democrat Val B. Demings?
                                    Responses: 498 ( 4.4% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Daniel Webster:       51.4%   
   Val B. Demings:       40.0%   
   Undecided:             8.6%   

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 13 do you support Republican C.W. Bill Young or Democrat Jessica Ehrlich?
                                    Responses: 533 ( 4.3% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   C.W. Bill Young:      48.7%   
   Jessica Ehrlich:      39.8%   
   Undecided:            11.5%               

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 16 do you support Republican Vern Buchanan or Democrat Keith Fitzgerald?
                                    Responses: 494 ( 4.4% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Vern Buchanan:        55.2%   
   Keith Fitzgerald:     38.3%   
   Undecided:             6.5%

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 18 do you support Republican Allen West or Democrat Patrick Murphy?
                                    Responses: 902 ( 3.3% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Allen West:           52.6%   
   Patrick Murphy:       40.6%   
   Undecided:             6.8%   

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 22 do you support Republican Adam Hasner or Democrat Lois Frankel?
                                    Responses: 407 ( 4.9% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   Adam Hasner:          44.6%   
   Lois Frankel:         44.3%   
   Undecided:            11.2%

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 26 do you support Republican David Rivera, Democrat Joe Garcia,
  No Party Candidate Jose Peixoto or No Party Candidate Angel Fernandez? 
                                    Responses: 473 ( 4.5% margin of error at a 95% confidence level)
   David Rivera:          43.4%   
   Joe Garcia:            40.5%   
   Jose Peixoto:           2.8%   
   Angel Fernandez:        1.6%   
   Undecided:             11.8%   









http://www.stpetepolls.org/home/surveys/september-2012---november-6-2012-general-election-state-and-congressional-races


In the race for Representative in Congress from District 3 do you support Republican Ted Yoho or Democrat J.R. Gaillot?
 Ted Yoho:          55.9%    
 J.R. Gaillot:        30.9%    
 Undecided:         13.2%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
 Todd Long:         41.0%    
 Alan Grayson:    45.8%    
 Undecided:         13.2%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 12 do you support Republican Gus Michael Bilirakis, Democrat Jonathan Michael Snow, No Party Candidate Paul Sidney Elliott or No Party Candidate John Russell?
 Gus Michael Bilirakis:        56.5%    
 Jonathan Michael Snow:     27.1%    
 Paul Sidney Elliott:              2.2%    
 John Russell:                      2.0%    
 Undecided:                        12.3%                            

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 13 do you support Republican C.W. Bill Young or Democrat Jessica Ehrlich?
 C.W. Bill Young:                50.1%    
 Jessica Ehrlich:                  38.6%    
 Undecided:                         11.3%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 14 do you support Republican Evelio EJ Otero or Democrat Kathy Castor?
 Evelio EJ Otero:               32.2%    
 Kathy Castor:                  59.2%    
 Undecided:                       8.6%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 16 do you support Republican Vern Buchanan or Democrat Keith Fitzgerald?
 Vern Buchanan:            55.6%    
 Keith Fitzgerald:           37.0%    
 Undecided:                    7.4%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 18 do you support Republican Allen West or Democrat Patrick Murphy?
 Allen West:             48.7%    
 Patrick Murphy:       42.6%    
 Undecided:                8.7%                                        

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 22 do you support Republican Adam Hasner or Democrat Lois Frankel?
 Adam Hasner:         41.0%    
 Lois Frankel:           46.6%    
 Undecided:             12.4%                                        
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 01:19:14 pm by krazen1211 »Logged
Napoleon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15396


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2012, 01:36:29 pm »
Ignore

Grayson!
Logged

Yeah, after four years of being a non-disruptive poster on the forum, never considered a troublemaker, even someone who was liked well enough to be elected Atlasian President, Napoleon should be allowed to stay.


Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13579
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2012, 02:30:48 pm »
Ignore

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
 Todd Long:         41.0%   
 Alan Grayson:    45.8%   
 Undecided:         13.2%

Ohhhh hahahaha man. This is a district that went 60% for Obama and 39% McCain.
Logged

Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
sex-negative feminist prude
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13860


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2012, 03:20:06 pm »
Ignore

What about Rivera down in Miami-Dade?
Logged

A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

I didn't really read it, tbh.
only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58759
India


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2012, 03:23:22 pm »
Ignore

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
 Todd Long:         41.0%   
 Alan Grayson:    45.8%   
 Undecided:         13.2%

Ohhhh hahahaha man. This is a district that went 60% for Obama and 39% McCain.
I think Florida Republicans may have inadvertently drawn the most Democratic Bush/Obama district possible without crassly gerrymandered lines. Because yes, this district actually narrowly voted for George W Bush in 2004 (but not 2000, I think, based on Osceola County's swing between those two elections.)

I kind of wonder about the district selection here. Who gives a damn about the 3rd and 12th districts? How about including the 2nd or 26th instead?
Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Dereich
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2081


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2012, 05:06:26 pm »
Ignore

In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
 Todd Long:         41.0%   
 Alan Grayson:    45.8%   
 Undecided:         13.2%

Ohhhh hahahaha man. This is a district that went 60% for Obama and 39% McCain.
I think Florida Republicans may have inadvertently drawn the most Democratic Bush/Obama district possible without crassly gerrymandered lines. Because yes, this district actually narrowly voted for George W Bush in 2004 (but not 2000, I think, based on Osceola County's swing between those two elections.)

I kind of wonder about the district selection here. Who gives a damn about the 3rd and 12th districts? How about including the 2nd or 26th instead?


I'm currently studying in the 2nd and I'm afraid to tell you it won't be interesting at all. The Democrat, Al Lawson, is a black Tallahassee liberal in a district that only could have been won by a blue dog (like the 2nd place candidate, Leo Bembry) in a good Democratic year. That and Southerland hasn't really screwed up more then average for a tea-partier so it would be hard to dislodge him. Interesting fact, one of my professors ran against him in the primary and got last place.
Logged
I left my heart in the back of the cab
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 73921
France


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2012, 11:27:37 am »
Ignore

I don't care if it's narrow, a win is a win, and ALAN GRAYSON is back in Congress! Yeah!
Logged

SJoyce
sjoycefla
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9159
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.81, S: -9.30

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: September 09, 2012, 08:55:30 pm »
Ignore

What about Rivera down in Miami-Dade?

Because the polling agency that conducts the polls rarely goes outside of St. Pete; they're typically local/Tampa Bay polls, and it's surprising for them to do other Florida polls.



I'd expect the West/Murphy and (hopefully) the Buchanan/Fitzgerald races to tighten; Young/Ehrlich will be interesting as well, since Ehrlich is actually campaigning and raising money (more than Young).
Logged

Clinton1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3609
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: September 09, 2012, 09:11:58 pm »
Ignore

I don't want Alan Grayson or Allen West back in Congress. Two sides of the same coin.
Logged

Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1359


Political Matrix
E: 0.51, S: -9.21

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: September 09, 2012, 09:48:57 pm »
Ignore

I thought Val Demings had a chance?
Logged
ajc0918
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1380
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: September 09, 2012, 10:15:20 pm »
Ignore

It should be said that in the local GOP primaries this pollster was accurate in the larger races, but it was really inaccurate at down ballot races. Take that as you will.
Logged

ChairmanSanchez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17642
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: September 23, 2012, 02:25:19 pm »
Ignore

I am working on the Hasner campaign, and I can tell you, our internal polling shows us to be ahead with indies, and even moderate Democrats. Frankel's legacy as Mayor, and her personality will sink her. It will be an extremely tight race, and I expect I will still be at the Hasner victory/defeat party come the day after the election Wink.
Logged

A Hybrid of Pat Buchanan and Bob Dylan.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz stole my car, embezzled my life savings, killed my parents, and raped my dog. Lois Frankel was the getaway driver.
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6081


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2012, 01:21:13 pm »
Ignore

Mr. Allen West is dominating in the latest poll. Grayson's lead is narrowing in 9.

Interestingly, 2 and 26 are moving in opposite directions.
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6081


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2012, 01:26:05 pm »
Ignore

think Florida Republicans may have inadvertently drawn the most Democratic Bush/Obama district possible without crassly gerrymandered lines. Because yes, this district actually narrowly voted for George W Bush in 2004 (but not 2000, I think, based on Osceola County's swing between those two elections.)

I kind of wonder about the district selection here. Who gives a damn about the 3rd and 12th districts? How about including the 2nd or 26th instead?



Somehow they seem to have acquired your feedback.
Logged
only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58759
India


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2012, 03:10:30 pm »
Ignore

Cool

They have Lawson up but Frankel trailing and Garcia leading by a lot less than everybody else. Hmmm...
Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Vote UKIP!
MasterSanders
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 999
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2012, 12:45:39 pm »
Ignore

Just for entertainment's sake, I would love to see Alan Grayson and Allen West in the same congress.

That should make for some interesting exchanges.
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines