Romney begins huge 15-ad blitz in CO, FL, IA, NV, NH, NC, OH, and VA tomorrow

[timothyinMD]

I'm shocked they're conceding WI. I didn't buy the hype from people it was now "toss-up", but I thought Ryan introduced enough uncertainty they would fight for it. Their polls must show otherwise.

If you think Romney is "conceding" WI, you're truly a moron

They're not advertising there. When is their next visit planned?

Romney/Ryan are a little too busy to call me up and inform me of their campaign schedule, so I don't know.  What I do know is one of my best friends is a senior Romney campaign worker in Wisconsin and they have a large operation running.

Ryan was just in Wisconsin the day before his speech.. aka.. 9 days ago

[Gravis Marketing]

Romney/Ryan are a little too busy to call me up and inform me of their campaign schedule, so I don't know.  What I do know is one of my best friends is a senior Romney campaign worker in Wisconsin and they have a large operation running.

They have about 20 offices in WI, true... but they also have as many offices in each of Michigan and Pennsylvania, but aren't spending money on ads there.

Ryan was just in Wisconsin the day before his speech.. aka.. 9 days ago

Right. It's a question of what they do after the initial announcement and whether they do more than token visits. Both campaigns have spent a lot of time in Iowa and Virginia, showing they're swing states. Biden did go to WI recently. I'd like to see if Romney and Ryan do more than just hometown stops to show they're competing in WI, given that they aren't running ads.

[The Head Beagle]

These ads are all basically of the same format for each state and don't feature Ryan at all. Isn't it more plausible just that their WI advertising will be of a different format and thus on a slightly different schedule?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Apparently Mittens has abandoned Ohio too during last week.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-romney-obama-ohio-ads-20120906,0,4157574.story

If you switched on a television in northern Ohio this week, chances are you saw an ad for President Obama’s reelection campaign. Or two. Or three. Over and over again.

Mitt Romney? Nothing.

Obama’s Republican challenger has spent much of the summer racing around the country gathering campaign donations to pay for advertising. And the legal restraints that kept him from spending money raised for the general election were lifted a week ago, when the party officially nominated him for president.

Yet for reasons that his advisors declined to discuss, Romney has ceded the advertising airwaves to Obama over the last week in Ohio and other battleground states.

[LINCOLN REPUBLICAN]

Why on Earth would they concede Wisconsin this early?

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, etc., Romney campaign says "stay tuned".

[J. J.]

Philadelphia is hugely expensive for TV advertizing, and Obama has consistently up by around 9 points.  WI and MI make no sense..

[ShadowOfTheWave]

Obama has consistently polled above 50% in MI in the polls that matter, I think his lowest was 47% and that was a while ago. If a consistent majority already says they are going to vote Obama it's probably a waste of money for Romney to go after it.

[J. J.]

Obama has consistently polled above 50% in MI in the polls that matter, I think his lowest was 47% and that was a while ago. If a consistent majority already says they are going to vote Obama it's probably a waste of money for Romney to go after it.

Only PPP has shown him above 50%, and their numbers were declining.

[muon2]

It really comes down to how convincing the ads are moreso than the money at this point. We're in uncharted territory in terms of negative campaigning this year; most people don't like either candidate much anymore. The American public feels like we're drowining--and need to decide whether we believe Mitt Romney is throwing us a life preserver or an anchor.

It is going to be more negative on both side than any presidential race in the past. Yet both sides must convince a certain block of voters that they are the lesser of two evils, and it's a block that decries negative ads in general. The cohort of voters that made up Clinton's soccer moms in 1996 are now stuck with unemployed adult kids. They are the independent females from 40-60 and as they were as a younger cohort they will be the courted vote this year. How ads play to them in swing states will be the barometer for the election.

[The Head Beagle]

These ads are all basically of the same format for each state and don't feature Ryan at all. Isn't it more plausible just that their WI advertising will be of a different format and thus on a slightly different schedule?

So, this turned out to be wrong: the WI ad is out and it's the same format as all the others. Romney's convention speech, then the thing with "Here in Wisconsin, we're not better off", and so on. Which is ... kind of weird, since just a few months ago we were blasted with constant Republican ads with Scott Walker going around factories with safety glasses on talking about how the recovery is underway and we are better off.

[ShadowOfTheWave]

Ads like that won't work. People decide for themselves if they're better off.

[J. J.]

Ads like that won't work. People decide for themselves if they're better off.

Sometimes they have to be asked the question.  It makes them think.

[AmericanNation]

These ads are all basically of the same format for each state and don't feature Ryan at all. Isn't it more plausible just that their WI advertising will be of a different format and thus on a slightly different schedule?

So, this turned out to be wrong: the WI ad is out and it's the same format as all the others. Romney's convention speech, then the thing with "Here in Wisconsin, we're not better off", and so on. Which is ... kind of weird, since just a few months ago we were blasted with constant Republican ads with Scott Walker going around factories with safety glasses on talking about how the recovery is underway and we are better off.

Walker did an amazing job his first few months in office, but the recall mania (legislative and gubernatorial) and the legislature being out of session has slowed progress.  It is also really hard to fight the national headwinds Obama is responsible for.  Walker ads were pointing out all the great work he did and continues to do, however the returns will be diminishing until Romney is elected and the legislature comes back into session.  Not sure what's weird about that.