270towin has its simulator up again!
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 12:45:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  270towin has its simulator up again!		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: 270towin has its simulator up again!  (Read 5456 times)
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 13, 2012, 06:51:39 AM »


275-263.
In other words, South Carolina is the deciding state here.
...
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,859
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 16, 2012, 09:04:48 AM »

Here's a strange one:



Obama wins Arizona and Missouri but loses MINNESOTA and New Hampshire? 


Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,803
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 16, 2012, 11:18:52 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2012, 11:24:37 AM by JulioMadrid »
This simulator thinks SC is a toss-up, or what? Because I've had it going to Obama many, many times, while AZ and GA have gone to him 0 times and Indiana only 1 or 2.

Oh, and I got a tie:
Logged
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,156
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 16, 2012, 11:45:23 AM »
Quote from: JulioMadrid on September 16, 2012, 11:18:52 AM
This simulator thinks SC is a toss-up, or what?

270 uses the latest polls in a doubleplusuncritical fashion.  The three most recent polls for SC in the Atlas database are all registered voter polls from before the primary and are R+6, O+3, and R+6.  Hence for the last eight months since the last poll was done, the Atlas has been showing South Carolina as a tossup according to the polls.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 16, 2012, 12:05:18 PM »
Shocked
Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,043
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: September 16, 2012, 12:30:19 PM »
Fun game to play :

Cover up the numbers at the bottom and see if you can figure out the margin by just seeing the map.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: September 17, 2012, 02:48:39 AM »
Quote from: True Federalist on September 16, 2012, 11:45:23 AM
Quote from: JulioMadrid on September 16, 2012, 11:18:52 AM
This simulator thinks SC is a toss-up, or what?

270 uses the latest polls in a doubleplusuncritical fashion.  The three most recent polls for SC in the Atlas database are all registered voter polls from before the primary and are R+6, O+3, and R+6.  Hence for the last eight months since the last poll was done, the Atlas has been showing South Carolina as a tossup according to the polls.

Yeah. The last one from Kansas is something like R+9 as well, meaning you can get results like this:
Logged
frihetsivrare
Volksliberalist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 613


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: September 17, 2012, 02:41:45 PM »
Logged
frihetsivrare
Volksliberalist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 613


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: September 17, 2012, 02:55:32 PM »



Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,043
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: September 18, 2012, 05:06:23 PM »
After I ran it 10 times:
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: September 18, 2012, 05:44:23 PM »
I got one where Obama wins South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Arizona, plus the usuals, but loses Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin.
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,178
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: September 18, 2012, 05:56:29 PM »
Logged
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,345
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: September 25, 2012, 07:50:27 PM »
« Edited: September 25, 2012, 08:36:58 PM by IDS Legislator SJoyceFla »
Just saw it and ran it once. This is the result:



Tennessee shall be the one Southern state Obama shall win; he shall also carry Montana and Arizona but not Colorado.



Colorado remains a weird, weird place.

I also got one where North Carolina and Indiana went for Obama and Virginia/Ohio went Romney.
Logged
ajb
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 869
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: September 25, 2012, 07:53:22 PM »
Now we know where Dick Morris gets his intel.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 12 queries.