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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Torie)
| | |-+  John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
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Author Topic: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?  (Read 1247 times)
freepcrusher
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« on: September 11, 2012, 05:40:55 pm »
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Kerry won 583 counties in 2004 and in a tied election, would have won probably about 700. Even George McGovern, in a tied election, would have won about 845 counties. Discuss.

Edited to fix an obvious typo in the year.
« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 06:49:36 pm by True Federalist »Logged

-1.38, -1.38
AverroŽs
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2012, 10:24:16 am »
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People, not counties, comprise the electorate.
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old timey villain
cope1989
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2012, 06:14:21 pm »
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Republicans win more counties but Democrats win the more populous counties.

For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County. The Republicans can win every other county.
« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 06:17:01 pm by cope1989 »Logged

Can't we all just get along?
mathstatman
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« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2015, 01:08:02 pm »
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I thought Kerry's support base was pretty diverse. It's just that he was the only Dem since 1988 to lose the PV. Does "if the election were tied" presuppose uniform swing?
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2015, 09:26:53 pm »
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For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2015, 09:32:55 pm »
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For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]


Its unlikely since Cook County is usually only 64-65% Democrat if a Republican wins, but theoretically if a Democrat got 70% in Cook and lost every other county they would still win.
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