John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2024, 03:22:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: John Kerry - candidate with least broad coalition?  (Read 1752 times)
freepcrusher
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,825
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 11, 2012, 05:40:55 PM »
« edited: September 18, 2012, 06:49:36 PM by True Federalist »

Kerry won 583 counties in 2004 and in a tied election, would have won probably about 700. Even George McGovern, in a tied election, would have won about 845 counties. Discuss.

Edited to fix an obvious typo in the year.
Logged
old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2012, 06:14:21 PM »
« Edited: September 18, 2012, 06:17:01 PM by cope1989 »

Republicans win more counties but Democrats win the more populous counties.

For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County. The Republicans can win every other county.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2015, 01:08:02 PM »

I thought Kerry's support base was pretty diverse. It's just that he was the only Dem since 1988 to lose the PV. Does "if the election were tied" presuppose uniform swing?
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2015, 09:26:53 PM »

For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2015, 09:32:55 PM »

For instance, Democrats can win the entire state of Illinois just by running up their margins in Cook County.

[citation needed]


Its unlikely since Cook County is usually only 64-65% Democrat if a Republican wins, but theoretically if a Democrat got 70% in Cook and lost every other county they would still win.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 11 queries.