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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
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Author Topic: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?  (Read 262 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: September 11, 2012, 07:56:15 pm »
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I expect something like this:

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Senator Alfred F. Jones
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2012, 08:08:04 pm »
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NH will go R before MA.
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Alfred is the only acceptable option

Clinton they've discovered our lovechild Sad

gotapresent
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2012, 08:38:55 pm »
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I'm new to this site so I was extremely confused for a moment. I'm used to the Red/Republican Blue/Democrat color scheme, so at first I thought you were giving CA to Romney and TX to Obama. Then I realized the colors were inverted, and thought you were giving NJ to Romney and GA to Obama. Now I realize this isn't an election day prediction at all...

As for 2008-2012 trends, most of them look plausible, but arguably Romney will do better than McCain did in FL given the current economic situation there.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2012, 08:42:57 pm »
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NH will go R before MA.

With the Romney homestate effect, MA is basically assured of moving more toward him than the NPV. 

NH comes down to the Boston suburbs vs. "East Vermont" and I think East Vermont comes out as strong if not stronger than 2008.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2012, 09:10:46 pm »
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NH will go R before MA.

I think that's supposed to be a trend map.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2012, 09:56:42 pm »
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Seems right except for WV.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2012, 12:17:41 am »
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My guess:

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Endorsements: Sen: Broun (GA), Bevin (KY), Wolf (KS), McDaniel (MS), Brannon (NC), Bright (SC)
House: Amash (MI), Massie (KY), Duncan (TN), McClintock (CA), Sanford (SC), Jones (NC), Huelskamp (KS), Loudermilk (GA), Emmer (MN), Richardson (ME), Raths (CA), DeMaio (CA), Dietzel (LA), Lonegan (NJ), Didier (WA), Mooney (WV), Mathis (AL)
Gov: LePage (ME), Coleman (AR), Melvin (AZ), Donnelly (CA)
Lіef
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2012, 10:22:11 pm »
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Something like this:

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