A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
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  A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?
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Author Topic: A Post-Convention take on 2008-2012 state trends?  (Read 522 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: September 11, 2012, 07:56:15 PM »

I expect something like this:

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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2012, 08:08:04 PM »

NH will go R before MA.
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gotapresent
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2012, 08:38:55 PM »

I'm new to this site so I was extremely confused for a moment. I'm used to the Red/Republican Blue/Democrat color scheme, so at first I thought you were giving CA to Romney and TX to Obama. Then I realized the colors were inverted, and thought you were giving NJ to Romney and GA to Obama. Now I realize this isn't an election day prediction at all...

As for 2008-2012 trends, most of them look plausible, but arguably Romney will do better than McCain did in FL given the current economic situation there.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2012, 08:42:57 PM »


With the Romney homestate effect, MA is basically assured of moving more toward him than the NPV. 

NH comes down to the Boston suburbs vs. "East Vermont" and I think East Vermont comes out as strong if not stronger than 2008.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2012, 09:10:46 PM »


I think that's supposed to be a trend map.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2012, 09:56:42 PM »

Seems right except for WV.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2012, 12:17:41 AM »

My guess:

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2012, 10:22:11 PM »

Something like this:

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