Most Likely 2008 Race
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Author Topic: Most Likely 2008 Race  (Read 9928 times)
Alcon
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« on: January 26, 2005, 08:38:20 PM »
« edited: January 26, 2005, 08:39:57 PM by Alcon »
I was going to make this...and with good timing. Wink

Who do you think the most likely match-up will be, and who do you think will win it? This combines the theme of multiple threads into one, which I do not think we have had before.

I say Bayh (D-IN) vs. Owens (R-CO).



Bayh 348
Owens 190

Or at least I can hope... Wink
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KEmperor
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2005, 08:38:43 PM »
Damn, you beat me by 2 seconds for the first thread posted here.
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2005, 08:40:11 PM »
Noooo... I posted my version of this before I saw yours:) Anyways, I think it'll be Bayh vs. Sanford.

As to your map, no way Bayh carries South Dakota.
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2005, 08:44:12 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2005, 08:49:10 PM by Jake »


Governor Richardson of NM and Senator George Allen of Virginia

Allen           288
Richardson 250

Tossups:
CO
AZ
NV
WI
IA
NH
PA
OH

EV totals go from 316 Allen, 222 Richardson to 308 Richardson, 230 Allen
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2005, 08:46:29 PM »
Quote from: Bob on January 26, 2005, 08:40:11 PM
Noooo... I posted my version of this before I saw yours:) Anyways, I think it'll be Bayh vs. Sanford.

As to your map, no way Bayh carries South Dakota.

After Kerry's surprise 59% in South Dakota, I believe it will be Bayh's strongest state.
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #5 on: January 26, 2005, 08:50:37 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2005, 08:58:50 PM by Bob »
LOL, that's pretty good:) I might as well post my map, too:




Bayh beats Sanford 296-242.
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Jake
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« Reply #6 on: January 26, 2005, 08:54:10 PM »
I think Bayh would lose NH in that race.  He is the opposite of NH politics, populist, not libertarian.  Sanford seems to be a good candidate.
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #7 on: January 26, 2005, 08:57:52 PM »
Quote from: Jake on January 26, 2005, 08:54:10 PM
I think Bayh would lose NH in that race.  He is the opposite of NH politics, populist, not libertarian.  Sanford seems to be a good candidate.

Good point. I'll switch NH to Sanford.
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The Man From G.O.P.
TJN2024
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« Reply #8 on: January 26, 2005, 08:58:53 PM »
Stop putting virginia in the democrat column, unless warner gets a good showing and the republicans have some sort of disaster, its not going to happen
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Alcon
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« Reply #9 on: January 26, 2005, 09:01:41 PM »
Quote from: TN2024 on January 26, 2005, 08:58:53 PM
Stop putting virginia in the democrat column, unless warner gets a good showing and the republicans have some sort of disaster, its not going to happen

Bayh is a populist, and a midwesterner. This would play well in rural Virginia. Against Governor Owens, I think he has a good choice of carrying it.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: January 26, 2005, 09:04:37 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2005, 09:10:04 PM by jfern »
Bayh vs. Guilani.
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #11 on: January 26, 2005, 09:07:58 PM »
Projected race:
McCain/Bush v Clinton/Bayh
306 v 232

McCain wins the swing/independent midwest/far west states:
AZ, NV, CO, IA, MN, WI while Bush keeps the conservative Southern and Mountain states Republican

Clinton holds the Northeast, IL, and the West Coast, Hilliary makes AR closer but still loses it
Bayh makes IN closer, but still loses it

PA, OH, MI are the battleground states and could go either way, but they don't matter since with IA, MN, WI, and NM McCain wins
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #12 on: January 26, 2005, 09:10:37 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on January 26, 2005, 08:38:20 PM
I say Bayh (D-IN) vs. Owens (R-CO).

Ick ick ick.
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Moooooo
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« Reply #13 on: January 26, 2005, 09:15:22 PM »
Frist/Franks vs Bayh/Clark




Bayh/Clark win 327-211
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2005, 09:16:09 PM »
Hillary vs. Frist
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Josh
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« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2005, 09:18:06 PM »
Well, whatever happens, we've got a Democrat win.  Bayh seems like a candidate who is both good and supported.  And hell, after 4 more years of Bush, maybe people will finally be tired of the GOP. Wink
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Jake
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« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2005, 09:20:34 PM »

What a joke.  We already saw this election what happens when a conservative GOPer faces a liberal Democrat.  CO is solid Frist, as is FL and possibly NM/IA.
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jfern
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« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2005, 09:20:47 PM »
Bayh vs. Pataki
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The Man From G.O.P.
TJN2024
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« Reply #18 on: January 26, 2005, 09:28:11 PM »

jfern, your starting to remind me of jshu with you maps, dont be stupid please
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: January 26, 2005, 09:31:31 PM »

You are seriously overestimating the effect of regional location on electoral performance.
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jfern
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« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2005, 09:33:18 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2005, 09:35:47 PM by jfern »
Quote from: TN2024 on January 26, 2005, 09:28:11 PM

jfern, your starting to remind me of jshu with you maps, dont be stupid please

Here, I'll do a Republican victory one.
Kucinch vs. Guilani



Roy Moore wins some states as a write-in.
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Josh
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« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2005, 09:35:09 PM »
Sadly enough, you aren't quite so far off on that one. Sad
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2005, 09:44:20 PM »
Bayh vs. Frist:



Bayh wins 316-222.

Bayh vs. Pataki:



Bayh wins 318-220.
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The Man From G.O.P.
TJN2024
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« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2005, 09:49:18 PM »
Quote from: jfern on January 26, 2005, 09:33:18 PM
Quote from: TN2024 on January 26, 2005, 09:28:11 PM

jfern, your starting to remind me of jshu with you maps, dont be stupid please

Here, I'll do a Republican victory one.
Kucinch vs. Guilani



Roy Moore wins some states as a write-in.

I don't  care who wins, just unrealistic maps are much better than stupid ones, and its scary that kucinich would probably do that poorly
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Vagabond Manifesto
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« Reply #24 on: January 26, 2005, 09:59:01 PM »
It should be noted that Bayh was one of 13 Senators to vote against Rice's confirmation. That might change your mind about Bayh's chances in some of those states.

Is anyone else extremely bored by the prospet of Bayh vs. Owens?

Kucinich vs. Santorum would be fun.
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