Take your guess at the outcome of the 3 tightest races: VA, MA and MT

[Brittain33]

As for Brown's chances up against a 2 to 1 Obama win in MA, recall that John Volpe was elected Governor there in 1960 when JFK handily defeated Nixon, and, after losing to Peabody in 1962, was elected again in 1964 while LBJ was drubbing Goldwater.  They know how to split tickets in Massachusetts, so I don't count Brown out.

That was 50 years ago and for a state race, not federal. If we know how to split tickets, we haven't shown it since 1992 and a couple of House elections. Note that Brown won in 2010 with virtually no ticket splitting. While he has some Obama votes in 2012, sure, in 2010 he got no more votes than McCain did in 2008.

The 1996 election is more relevant, I think.

[TNF]

Democratic sweep, with the only one I see flipping GOP here is Montana. Warren is going to beat Brown thanks to Obama at the top of the ticket, and with Obama carrying Virginia, the story will be the same for Kaine.

[sg0508]

The VA race could end up being very similar to the MI race in 2000.  Abraham was neck and neck with Stabenow until Gore broke up the state in the final week with the Bush DUI issue.  Then Stabenow pulled ahead and that was that.

Watch the last week where the last 10% or so make up their minds. 

[Lief 🗽]

Looks like Kaine may win Virginia pretty comfortably in the end.

[opebo]

VA - D
MA - D
MT - D

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

D Sweep.
Warren by 6
Kaine by 3
Tester by 2

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

D Sweep.
Warren by 6
Kaine by 3
Tester by 2

More and more I'm thinking that this is a possibility, but unfortunately Tester is probably a slight underdog and we still oughtn't to take Massachusetts for granted.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

D Sweep.
Warren by 6
Kaine by 3
Tester by 2

More and more I'm thinking that this is a possibility, but unfortunately Tester is probably a slight underdog and we still oughtn't to take Massachusetts for granted.

I think Tester will bring those moderate voters home in the end. If Romney disintegrates it's only going to buoy him up as more resources can be freed up support Tester.