MA-Western New England Polling Institute: Warren gets bounce, now ahead by 6

[Lief 🗽]

PPP will release a poll of this race tonight, but I don't think Warren taking the lead here is that far-fetched. Polls have shown that Democrats have become a lot more enthusiastic in blue states since the DNC (Obama is back to his 2008-level leads in California and New York, for instance) and the idea that Brown was ever going to run away with this race in Massachusetts was always kind of ridiculous. People may personally like him, but at the end of the day a vote for Scott Brown is a vote for Jim Demint and Jim Inhofe running the senate.

[Lief 🗽]

PPP says Warren leads too, at least a six point swing to her since August: https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/247451449250955264

Warren clearly has the big mo.

[Lief 🗽]

... but at the end of the day a vote for Scott Brown is a vote for Jim Demint and Jim Inhofe running the senate.

You just named two people with sub 10% name recognition in Massachusetts.

They may not know their names but they know their policies and beliefs, which are toxic in a blue state like Massachusetts.

[Lief 🗽]

Certainly there's some truth to that. But at the same time the "a vote for person x is a vote for person y" clearly affects some significant population of voters, or else senate elections wouldn't be so much more partisan than gubernatorial elections. Surely if Scott Brown were the incumbent governor of Massachusetts running against Elizabeth Warren, he'd be winning handily right now.