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| |-+  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Mr. Morden)
| | |-+  Will Mitt Romney continue the Presidential Campaign for 4 more years?
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Author Topic: Will Mitt Romney continue the Presidential Campaign for 4 more years?  (Read 606 times)
Boomer Sooner Bushie
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« on: September 22, 2012, 11:10:51 pm »
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Assuming he loses in 2012 (which I know what assuming does to people), will he get the picture or will he continue the campaign for 2016?
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2012, 11:46:02 pm »
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Assuming he loses in 2012 (which I know what assuming does to people), will he get the picture or will he continue the campaign for 2016?

He'll stop. I'm sure some idiot is gonna want him again for some reason, but he's probably gonna become Washingtons Top Lobbyist.
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2012, 12:07:16 am »
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No.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2012, 11:16:14 am »
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He'd be taken about as seriously as Harold Stassen was post-1952.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2012, 02:47:21 pm »
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It would take a highly specific set of circumstances, but it could happen:

a) Mitt must overperform on Election Day.
b) Mitt must win the popular vote.
c) Mitt must lose the decisive state by an extremely narrow, Florida-2000/Minnesota-2008-esque margin.
d) The Republicans should be successful at painting Obama's victory in the key state as fake (this one should be easy enough, when it's that close that's what everyone assumes anyway).
e) Obama's second term must be viewed by a solid majority of Americans -- 60% is the minimum -- as a failure.

That is, if Mitt is seen as the 'real winner' overwhelmingly, like Gore was, and there is a good deal of buyer's remorse about Obama winning come 2016 (like there really wasn't in 2004 with Bush), than Mitt could really run a legitimate campaign for the nomination in 2016.
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2012, 11:12:35 pm »
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It would take a highly specific set of circumstances, but it could happen:

a) Mitt must overperform on Election Day.
b) Mitt must win the popular vote.
c) Mitt must lose the decisive state by an extremely narrow, Florida-2000/Minnesota-2008-esque margin.
d) The Republicans should be successful at painting Obama's victory in the key state as fake (this one should be easy enough, when it's that close that's what everyone assumes anyway).
e) Obama's second term must be viewed by a solid majority of Americans -- 60% is the minimum -- as a failure.

That is, if Mitt is seen as the 'real winner' overwhelmingly, like Gore was, and there is a good deal of buyer's remorse about Obama winning come 2016 (like there really wasn't in 2004 with Bush), than Mitt could really run a legitimate campaign for the nomination in 2016.

It would take every bit of that for Mitt to ever be a credible candidate again.  Even with those circumstances, Mitt would be viewed as a guy who blew an election he should have easily won.  Mitt is not popular among Republicans and if these circumstances occurred, it would galvanize Republicans to view the victim of the election as the GOP as a whole, and not Mitt Romney personally.  I believe that Mitt Romney, if he loses, will fade into as much obscurity as a former major party nominee can possible fade to.
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2012, 02:31:48 am »
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The only way the loser this time will run in 2016 is if they win the PV but lose the EV, and in that case we'll have not only the "joy" of a rematch in 2016, but the "fun" of four continuous years of campaigning thanks to the SuperPACs.
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2012, 07:07:04 pm »
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The only way the loser this time will run in 2016 is if they win the PV but lose the EV, and in that case we'll have not only the "joy" of a rematch in 2016, but the "fun" of four continuous years of campaigning thanks to the SuperPACs.

I think this is it.
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J. J.

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The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

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