Will less states change allegiances than 2004?

[The Ex-Factor]

As all of you fellow political junkies should know, only 3 states changed allegiances in 2004: New Mexico & Iowa to the Republicans, and New Hampshire to the Democrats. If you look at the current poll database at this very moment, the only state that is projected to change allegiances is Indiana. So what do y'all think? After these 4 years are we headed for virtually the exact same electoral result?

Also, what is the least amount of states that changed from election to election? Even from 1816 to 1820 3 states changed from Federalist to Democratic-Republican...

[opebo]

I guess its just the one, Indiana.  Missouri and North Carolina being the other quite likely possibilities.

[Vosem]

I would quibble on NC, but still, 2<3. Ultimately, depends on how the campaign goes; I voted 'more than 3', cause I still think Romney will come close, but we'll have a clearer picture in a few weeks.

[5280]

I voted more than 3, there is still more than a month away from election night.

The biggest change will be if Obama gets reelected, the 2016 map will change more than the 2008-2012 map.

[Donerail]

3 and 1/3 states. Florida, Indiana, North Carolina, and NE-02.

[Sasquatch]

Indiana and Nebraska's 2nd district.

That's it.

[auburntiger]

With the following 4 being "must-wins" for Romney (OH, VA, NC, FL), I would be shocked to see him go 0-4. After one of his worst weeks (guess it could get worse), RCP has the map at 347-191 without tossups and 247-191 with tossups. You could argue 191 is Romney's base.

With all the money being spent in NV, CO, IA, WI, OH, VA, NC, FL, NH, I think by sheer luck he's able to win 1 if not 2 of the 9. I'll project a 303-235 result (GOP wins IN, NC, FL). With that, he can at least say he has a respectable loss.  

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

IN, NC, NH

[The Ex-Factor]

Well, in the grand scheme of things this election was pretty boring :/