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| | |-+  2012 House Election Polls (Moderator: Tender Branson)
| | | |-+  NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10
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Author Topic: NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10  (Read 507 times)
krazen1211
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« on: September 25, 2012, 01:45:36 pm »
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http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD3-2012Oct.pdf


Runyan 49
Adler 39






http://www.politickernj.com/59947/runyan-campaign-internal-poll-shows-republican-leading-adler-51-34


Runyan 51
Adler 34

« Last Edit: October 05, 2012, 12:34:12 pm by krazen1211 »Logged
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Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2012, 02:15:36 pm »
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No surprise here, sadly. They dumped some pretty heavily Republican areas into this in the redistricting.
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A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
Devils30
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2012, 02:48:51 pm »
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It got 1 point more Republican. In no way should this district be treated as safe R. Obama still won it by 3.5 points.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2012, 02:54:05 pm »
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17. Right.

Don't get me wrong. He'll win and not be challenged anymore afterwards.
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mondale84
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2012, 06:00:08 pm »
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LOL GOP internals.
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Nathan
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2012, 11:52:23 pm »
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I mean insofar as it's an internal there's no surprise it would be showing these numbers. Runyan is probably ahead by high single digits to around 10 or 11.
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A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
freepcrusher
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2012, 12:15:18 am »
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Runyan might actually be a pub I'd consider voting for. His ACU rating of 64 puts him up there among the least conservative of the freshman.
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2012, 05:20:36 pm »
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It got 1 point more Republican. In no way should this district be treated as safe R. Obama still won it by 3.5 points.

In terms of a New Jersey district, there's simply no way for Democrats to win here. Adler's win was an open-seat fluke in the best Democratic year in decades, and he was promptly swept out two years later. The GOP bench here is strong; the Dem bench isn't -- that's why Democrats pressured Adler's wife to run. Just the way Burlington County is: competitive in statewide elections, but solidly Republican locally.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2012, 12:12:32 pm »
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http://atr.rollcall.com/nrcc-cuts-780000-in-philadelphia-buys-aimed-for-jon-runyan/

House Republicans cut $780,000 of ad reservations in the Philadelphia broadcast market today intended for Rep. Jon Runyanís (R-N.J.) re-election, according to a Republican source familiar with the move.
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2012, 03:15:02 pm »
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Safe R through 2022.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2012, 04:31:15 pm »
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Safe R through 2022.

No way.  In a bad GOP midterm election, Runyan could easily be swept away.

I still think the Democrats have a better shot in the second district when LoBiondo retires.  That seat has a deep Democratic bench and actually has a Democratic history unlike the third.  Bill Hughes held that seat easily from 1974 to 1994 even when it was still solidly Republican at the Presidential level.  In the third, other than Adler, I dont think any Democrat ever won there. 
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2012, 08:55:00 am »
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Safe R through 2022.

No way.  In a bad GOP midterm election, Runyan could easily be swept away.

By whom, exactly? Name the credible Democratic challenger who exists in NJ-03 who will challenge Runyan. And why will that person choose to wait until, say, 2016 to run when the easiest road is to challenge in 2012? Why do you think the best Democrats could do here was the widow Adler (who failed to make this even competitive)?
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krazen1211
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2012, 12:32:50 pm »
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http://intraweb.stockton.edu/eyos/hughescenter/content/docs/Stockton%20Polling%20Institute%20-%20CD3-2012Oct.pdf


Runyan 49
Adler 39
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Zioneer
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2012, 01:19:11 pm »
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Well I suppose if Christie doesn't work out, the New Jersey GOP has Runyan.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2012, 01:31:04 pm »
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Highish but makes sense.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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