Charlie Cook: Private polling puts Obama ahead or tied in every swing state

[Lief 🗽]

Not really a fan of the conventional wisdom that there is something inherently more correct about unreleased internal polls versus public polls, but either way, both campaigns agree the numbers are bad for Romney:

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http://www.nationaljournal.com/columns/off-to-the-races/pollsters-suggest-race-stabilizing-in-obama-s-favor-20120925

[Likely Voter]

So if Romney's campaign thinks that OH and WI are moving away, the thread the needle strategy would be to win seven of the nine battlegrounds (NC, NH, FL, VA, NV, CO, and IA).

[Devils30]

Romney must win Ohio. Wisconsin/Nevada will go blue before the buckeye state.

[DrScholl]

Those polls are not unskewered, Romney is really up ten everywhere.

[Skill and Chance]

It's interesting NC and VA are both very close.  I wouldn't have guessed that.  If VA is really tight, NC should be off the table.

[Politico]

Romney has taken the worst beating imaginable this month yet he keeps getting back up off the mat. He has probably fallen as far as he can go yet everything is still within single points (even PA, which I have largely written off). He is still poised to win this. Just wait until he actually strikes back, and knocks Obama onto the mat.

Also, LOL at the notion of this being a "choice election." As if our current malaise is anything like 2004, which is the only "choice election" involving an incumbent in decades simply because of our failures in Iraq and the subsequent Swift Boating of Kerry (it is one thing to replace a president during economic malaise as in 1992, 1980 and 1976 and yet another to replace the Commander-in-Chief during a tough war)...

[Tender Branson]

He is still poised to win this. Just wait until he actually strikes back.

"Der Feind operiert jetzt am nördlichen Stadtrand zwischen Frohnau und Pankow und im Osten ist der Feind bis zur Linie Lichtenberg gelangt."

("The Obama campaign has taken a 14-point lead up in Wisconsin and a 4-point lead in North Carolina.")

"Mit dem Angriff Steiner's wird das alles in Ordnung kommen !"

("With the attack of Paul Ryan everything will be OK later on !")

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Is it not in both campaign's interests to suggest close races...

[Mr.Phips]

If Obama and his team had put half as much effort into helping Democrats in 2010 as they are beating Romney this year, Democrats would probably still hold the House and many state legislatures. 

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

If Obama and his team had put half as much effort into helping Democrats in 2010 as they are beating Romney this year, Democrats would probably still hold the House and many state legislatures. 

If the Democrats had held the House, Obama would be receiving much more criticism from both the Left and the Right, and would likely be facing a much more difficult re-election battle...

[Mr.Phips]

If Obama and his team had put half as much effort into helping Democrats in 2010 as they are beating Romney this year, Democrats would probably still hold the House and many state legislatures. 

If the Democrats had held the House, Obama would be receiving much more criticism from both the Left and the Right, and would likely be facing a much more difficult re-election battle...

Who cares?  Lose the House forever and hold the Presidency for a measly four years or hold the House for many years and possibly lose the Presidency?

Democrats losing big in 2010 probably cost them the House for several generations. 

[Wisconsin+17]

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I would love to see someone make a youtube video - "Politico finds out that Romney has lost the election".