which is more probable?
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Poll
Question: ....
#1
romney winning ohio		  
#2
obama winning montana		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: which is more probable?  (Read 541 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: September 27, 2012, 08:33:54 AM »
obama winning montana, obviously.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2012, 08:36:56 AM »
Obama winning Montana.

Romney is an abysmal fit for Ohio.
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LiberalJunkie
LiberalJunkie99
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2012, 08:41:46 AM »
Lol some polls say Obama is closer to winning Montana then Romney is to winning Ohio so Montana for now.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2012, 09:00:42 AM »
Quote from: LiberalJunkie99 on September 27, 2012, 08:41:46 AM
Lol some polls say Obama is closer to winning Montana then Romney is to winning Ohio so Montana for now.
But Obama is pretty close to being maxed out currently. He could gain a couple more points but that's it. If the tide turns Romney could well win Ohio so I'm gonna say that is far more likely than Obama winning Montana.
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2012, 09:06:26 AM »
Romney winning Ohio is the correct answer.
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2012, 11:39:27 AM »
Quote from: 20RP12 on September 27, 2012, 09:06:26 AM
Romney winning Ohio is the correct answer.

I have to hope that most Obama-MT voters are trolling. Obama winning Montana is plausible, but it's a pretty marginal possibility.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2012, 11:43:57 AM »
Quote from: Averroës Nix on September 27, 2012, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: 20RP12 on September 27, 2012, 09:06:26 AM
Romney winning Ohio is the correct answer.

I have to hope that most Obama-MT voters are trolling. Obama winning Montana is plausible, but it's a pretty marginal possibility.
Well, I'll go with Nate's numbers-

Obama in Montana- 10%
Romney in Ohio- 18%

I'll go with those numbers.
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LiberalJunkie
LiberalJunkie99
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2012, 12:01:53 PM »
Quote from: Mutthole Surfers on September 27, 2012, 11:43:57 AM
Quote from: Averroës Nix on September 27, 2012, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: 20RP12 on September 27, 2012, 09:06:26 AM
Romney winning Ohio is the correct answer.

I have to hope that most Obama-MT voters are trolling. Obama winning Montana is plausible, but it's a pretty marginal possibility.
Well, I'll go with Nate's numbers-

Obama in Montana- 10%
Romney in Ohio- 18%

I'll go with those numbers.

LOL
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Earthling
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« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2012, 12:08:32 PM »
Romney can rise easily if he gets more positive numbers from Ohio. It doesn't say anything off course.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2012, 12:11:42 PM »
For Obama to win Montana, he needs to improve nationally by maybe 3-4%. For Romney to win Ohio he needs to improve nationally by 7-8%.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2012, 12:13:02 PM »
Quote from: Lief on September 27, 2012, 12:11:42 PM
For Obama to win Montana, he needs to improve nationally by maybe 3-4%. For Romney to win Ohio he needs to improve nationally by 7-8%.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #11 on: September 27, 2012, 12:21:59 PM »
"Obama winning America".
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2012, 12:22:41 PM »
I'll concede this: If the election were held today, it's a lot more conceivable that Obama would win Montana. Romney winning Ohio isn't even plausible.

That said, I have no idea where Lief's numbers are coming from. We've had only two polls out of Montana in the last month, and none within the past week, but both show Romney at over 50%.
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