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Author Topic: AZ: Rasmussen: Romney +10 in AZ  (Read 521 times)
Miles
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« on: September 27, 2012, 11:21:32 am »
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New Poll: Arizona President by Rasmussen on 2012-09-26

Summary: D: 42%, R: 52%, I: 4%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Reds4
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2012, 11:56:51 am »
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So we have Obama's internal polls saying he is ahead by a couple in Arizona and Rasmussen saying Romney is ahead by 10. Obviously someone is way off here. Maybe reality is about halfway between the two with a Romney lead of 4 or 5.
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Earthling
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2012, 11:59:59 am »
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Yes, which is also more likely.
Romney is not going to win Arizona by a wider margin than McCain did in 2008 if Obama is leading him by 4%. Obama could make a play in Arizona, but it's late in the game and there is no real need for it.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2012, 12:12:53 pm »
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Don't think Romney will win this state by 10
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5280
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2012, 12:13:06 pm »
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There was another ARG poll that had AZ Romney +10...

Obama is not taking AZ, people keep having pipedreams over nothing.  Much like hoping Romney wins Oregon, not going to happen.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2012, 12:33:15 pm »
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There was another ARG poll that had AZ Romney +10...

Obama is not taking AZ, people keep having pipedreams over nothing.  Much like hoping Romney wins Oregon, not going to happen.

Lol yes cite the other crazy pollster...
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sg0508
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2012, 04:49:31 pm »
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Obama made up significant ground in the final weeks of 2008, probably due to the economy.  I expect he'll close a bit here too, but not win.  That being said, I would put pressure on the Romney camp in AZ and not give it up so fast if for no reason, to get Romney thinking of the 11 EVs there that he has to have.

I think in the end, 52-47% Romney.
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SJG
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2012, 04:52:04 pm »
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I'm sure that if Obama were losing the popular vote by 2%, as Rasmussen alleges, then he'd be down 10% in Arizona. But considering that he's winning the popular vote by 5-7%...
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