Puerto Ricans will choose between 3 options:
Sovereign Free Associated State
Will 50% choose statehood out of the 3 choices? Seems like the question is set up to avoid any option recieving 50%.
Either way, they should choose Independence. But we've mindfked them so hard that they couldn't bear to be free of us. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UnWss3y7AUY
It's almost certain that the winning choice, whether statehood or the sovereign etc, will win with greater than 50% of the vote. Independence has struggled to obtain more than 1% of the vote in multiple prior plebesites. It's support is basically limited to professional "fight the power" types who listen to too much Rage Against the Machine.