Obama opens massive lead in New Hampshire. (user search)
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  Obama opens massive lead in New Hampshire. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Obama opens massive lead in New Hampshire.  (Read 1614 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 01, 2012, 05:28:44 PM »

Uh... no... I think Obama's ahead, but it's one of the more precarious swingers.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2012, 06:26:34 PM »

This polls junk and even Andy Smith who works in the poli-sci department at UNH (though I didn't have him as a professor) will probably tell you that, like he did the last poll that was O+5.  Romney, Obama and Biden were both here on September 7th.  Biden and Ryan have been here every 2 weeks since.  Chris Christie has been to the state.  Bill Clinton is coming on Wednesday (and they wouldn't deploy him here unless they needed him.  I think the internals are pretty bad for dems judging by the number of appearances they're making, and anecdotally, it isn't looking too pretty (though I know that isn't a good measure).

Depends what you mean by 'bad' NH is a crucial part of the Obama firewall, if it's any less than 5% in the internals, you're going to work your arse off to defend it.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2012, 06:34:52 PM »

This polls junk and even Andy Smith who works in the poli-sci department at UNH (though I didn't have him as a professor) will probably tell you that, like he did the last poll that was O+5.  Romney, Obama and Biden were both here on September 7th.  Biden and Ryan have been here every 2 weeks since.  Chris Christie has been to the state.  Bill Clinton is coming on Wednesday (and they wouldn't deploy him here unless they needed him.  I think the internals are pretty bad for dems judging by the number of appearances they're making, and anecdotally, it isn't looking too pretty (though I know that isn't a good measure).

Collapses happen, and Obama up 15 in New Hampshire is consistent with the Quinnipiac polls for Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania today. Neither U-New Hampshire nor Quinnipiac has been particularly D-friendly to date in polling results.   

Obama is not up 15 in NH... full stop. He's also not really up by 9 in FL or 10 in OH....

PA is the only one where there is a decent consistent 8%+ lead...
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